Compendium › Marcus Grave Dancer › NET
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
NET
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Grave Dancer's Analysis

to 2026-04-02 19:55:00+00 • 34 trades executed

+9.90%
2 Years Return
$12,046.47
Current Value
45%
Win Rate
$10,960.81
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-04-03 12:10:20

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
9
Extreme Fear
VIX
24.5
ELEVATED
10Y Yield
4.33%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.52%
STEEP
HY Spread
3.28
NORMAL
🌍 Kp Index
⛈️ 4.8
Severe
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
58.2 neutral
20d Trend
+92.9%
5d Trend
-10.5%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
12.0%
Range Pos
60%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Apr 3, 2026

24
Lifetime
Confidence: 70%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
14.3/35
Total Return
11.1/25
Win Rate
2.7/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 34.7/100
× Confidence 0.70 = 24.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (70%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
50,240
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-04-03 → 2026-04-02
Trading Days
526 days
Data Gaps
2 days with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2025-06-23 (26 candles), 2025-06-24 (no data)

Market Closed (20 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,960.81
Current Value
$12,046.47
Total P&L
$1,085.64
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.11

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
31
Winners / Losers
14 / 17
Best Trade
+6.02%
Worst Trade
-4.86%
Avg Trade Return
+0.50%
Avg Hold Time
1.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$788,117.85
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,085.64
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,085.64
Gross Return
+9.90%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.90%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NET Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 526 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Grave Dancer had $10,960.81 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2024 9:30am ET $91.66 116 $10,632.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2024 10:15am ET $96.32 116 $11,173.12 $11,195.13 +$540.56
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 25, 2024 9:30am ET $84.75 132 $11,187.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 26, 2024 10:55am ET $89.02 132 $11,750.64 $11,758.77 +$563.64
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY May 3, 2024 9:30am ET $76.31 154 $11,750.97 — — —
🔴 SELL May 3, 2024 10:30am ET $74.01 154 $11,396.77 $11,404.57 $-354.20
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY May 30, 2024 9:50am ET $71.57 159 $11,379.63 — — —
🔴 SELL May 30, 2024 12:30pm ET $69.38 159 $11,031.42 $11,056.36 $-348.21
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET $70.55 156 $11,005.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2024 9:35am ET $74.34 156 $11,597.04 $11,647.60 +$591.24
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 8, 2024 9:30am ET $88.90 131 $11,645.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2024 11:00am ET $93.45 131 $12,241.30 $12,242.99 +$595.39
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 10, 2025 9:40am ET $110.55 110 $12,160.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2025 10:35am ET $116.36 110 $12,799.60 $12,882.08 +$639.09
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2025 9:30am ET $132.42 97 $12,844.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2025 9:35am ET $139.17 97 $13,499.49 $13,537.08 +$654.99
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2025 9:50am ET $154.69 87 $13,458.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2025 9:35am ET $149.04 87 $12,966.70 $13,045.74 $-491.33
(-3.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2025 10:15am ET $141.32 92 $13,001.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2025 9:30am ET $149.11 92 $13,717.66 $13,761.96 +$716.22
(+5.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2025 9:30am ET $136.28 100 $13,628.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2025 2:55pm ET $143.17 100 $14,317.00 $14,450.96 +$689.00
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 7, 2025 11:30am ET $122.96 117 $14,386.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2025 9:35am ET $119.09 117 $13,933.53 $13,998.17 $-452.79
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2025 3:10pm ET $117.60 119 $13,994.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2025 9:30am ET $113.01 119 $13,448.19 $13,451.96 $-546.21
(-3.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2025 9:35am ET $116.86 115 $13,438.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 28, 2025 1:05pm ET $113.31 115 $13,030.08 $13,043.14 $-408.82
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET $112.08 116 $13,000.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 3, 2025 10:20am ET $108.13 116 $12,542.50 $12,584.65 $-458.49
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 4, 2025 10:20am ET $97.50 129 $12,576.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $92.76 129 $11,966.04 $11,973.83 $-610.82
(-4.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2025 9:40am ET $106.91 111 $11,867.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 12:00pm ET $103.32 111 $11,468.52 $11,575.34 $-398.49
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2025 9:55am ET $103.47 111 $11,485.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2025 2:50pm ET $100.34 111 $11,137.74 $11,227.91 $-347.43
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2025 11:05am ET $185.22 60 $11,113.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2025 10:00am ET $194.54 60 $11,672.40 $11,787.11 +$559.20
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2025 10:00am ET $184.30 63 $11,610.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 18, 2025 10:40am ET $195.40 63 $12,310.20 $12,486.41 +$699.30
(+6.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2025 9:50am ET $189.68 65 $12,329.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 25, 2025 10:50am ET $199.30 65 $12,954.18 $13,111.39 +$624.97
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET $196.65 66 $12,978.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 1, 2025 10:20am ET $207.71 66 $13,708.86 $13,841.68 +$730.29
(+5.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2025 9:50am ET $187.48 73 $13,686.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2025 11:00am ET $197.88 73 $14,445.06 $14,600.70 +$759.02
(+5.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 9:30am ET $214.49 68 $14,584.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 17, 2025 9:35am ET $207.81 68 $14,131.08 $14,146.80 $-453.90
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET $237.80 59 $14,029.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 5, 2025 9:30am ET $230.57 59 $13,603.63 $13,720.53 $-426.28
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 9:35am ET $218.83 62 $13,567.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 2:45pm ET $229.86 62 $14,251.32 $14,404.39 +$683.86
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
27 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $206.08 69 $14,219.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 9:30am ET $196.29 69 $13,544.02 $13,729.24 $-675.15
(-4.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:40am ET $194.76 70 $13,632.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 11:30am ET $188.47 70 $13,192.55 $13,288.94 $-440.30
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 9:35am ET $198.62 66 $13,108.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 11:30am ET $192.06 66 $12,675.63 $12,855.65 $-433.29
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
30 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:50am ET $173.83 73 $12,689.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 10:20am ET $168.11 73 $12,272.03 $12,438.09 $-417.56
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
31 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 9:35am ET $184.60 67 $12,368.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 3:15pm ET $178.76 67 $11,976.59 $12,046.47 $-391.62
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,046.47
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,046.47
Total Return: +20.46%
Back to Marcus Grave Dancer