Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:33:57

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
36.8 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-5.4%
EMA20 Dist
-4.3%
ATR%
2.6%
Range Pos
26%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

70
Lifetime
Confidence: 87%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
18.9/25
Win Rate
8.2/15
Profit Factor
10.5/15
Consistency
7.5/10
Raw Quality 80.1/100
× Confidence 0.87 = 69.6

30-Day Momentum

0
-1.3%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-70 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (87%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$29,890.88
Current Value
$28,752.75
Period P&L
$-1,138.13
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.09

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
1 / 2
Best Trade
+5.10%
Worst Trade
-3.10%
Avg Trade Return
-0.36%
Avg Hold Time
7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$173,483.90
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,138.13
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,138.13
Gross Return
-3.81%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.81%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Monday Gold had $29,890.88 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $1,128.69 25 $28,217.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 11:45am ET $1,186.26 25 $29,656.50 $30,564.63 +$1,439.25
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 12:00pm ET $1,151.09 26 $29,928.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 11:45am ET $1,115.77 26 $29,010.02 $29,646.31 $-918.32
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 11:15am ET $1,066.03 27 $28,782.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 2:55pm ET $1,032.93 27 $27,889.11 $28,752.75 $-893.56
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $28,752.75
Net Profit/Loss: +$18,752.75
Total Return: +187.53%
Back to Marcus Monday Gold