Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:12:28

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
41.2 neutral
20d Trend
-2.2%
5d Trend
-1.3%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
63%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

52
Lifetime
Confidence: 79%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
14.8/25
Win Rate
5.5/15
Profit Factor
4.3/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 65.7/100
× Confidence 0.79 = 51.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (79%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
29,579
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$16,987.68
Current Value
$16,006.17
Period P&L
$-981.51
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.10

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
7 / 8
Best Trade
+5.18%
Worst Trade
-3.65%
Avg Trade Return
-0.33%
Avg Hold Time
17.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$487,788.31
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-981.51
Net P&L (after fees)
$-981.51
Gross Return
-5.78%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.78%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IWM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Monday Gold had $16,987.68 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2025 9:35am ET $241.28 70 $16,889.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2025 9:35am ET $246.20 70 $17,234.00 $17,281.68 +$344.40
(+2.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 27, 2025 10:45am ET $250.36 69 $17,274.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 3, 2025 10:25am ET $242.68 69 $16,744.92 $16,751.76 $-529.92
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 10:40am ET $242.89 68 $16,516.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $234.21 68 $15,926.28 $16,161.52 $-590.24
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $236.70 68 $16,095.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 3:40pm ET $229.42 68 $15,600.56 $15,666.48 $-495.04
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET $245.88 63 $15,490.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 9:30am ET $247.76 63 $15,608.88 $15,784.92 +$118.44
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 3:40pm ET $252.81 62 $15,674.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 10:25am ET $265.47 62 $16,459.14 $16,569.84 +$784.92
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 3:35pm ET $261.90 63 $16,499.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $262.87 63 $16,560.81 $16,630.95 +$61.11
(+0.4%)
📅 Sim Ended
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 10:00am ET $260.73 63 $16,425.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $251.21 63 $15,826.23 $16,031.19 $-599.76
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $247.24 64 $15,823.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 1:35pm ET $239.64 64 $15,336.95 $15,544.78 $-486.41
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:40am ET $260.36 59 $15,361.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $273.84 59 $16,156.56 $16,340.10 +$795.32
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
11 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:45am ET $277.90 58 $16,118.20 — — —
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 11:30am ET $291.95 58 $16,933.10 $17,155.00 +$814.90
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 10:35am ET $286.80 59 $16,921.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:40pm ET $277.85 59 $16,393.15 $16,626.95 $-528.05
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 11:00am ET $294.91 56 $16,514.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 11:00am ET $296.64 56 $16,611.84 $16,723.83 +$96.88
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 11:00am ET $294.91 56 $16,514.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $290.86 56 $16,288.16 $16,497.03 $-226.80
(-1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 9:45am ET $300.72 54 $16,238.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:35am ET $291.63 54 $15,748.02 $16,006.17 $-490.86
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,006.17
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,006.17
Total Return: +60.06%
Back to Marcus Monday Gold