Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:33:37

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
36.8 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-5.4%
EMA20 Dist
-4.3%
ATR%
2.6%
Range Pos
26%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

70
Lifetime
Confidence: 87%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
18.9/25
Win Rate
8.2/15
Profit Factor
10.5/15
Consistency
7.5/10
Raw Quality 80.1/100
× Confidence 0.87 = 69.6

30-Day Momentum

0
-1.3%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-70 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (87%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,069
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$24,617.02
Current Value
$28,752.75
Period P&L
$4,135.73
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.66

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
4 / 2
Best Trade
+7.20%
Worst Trade
-3.10%
Avg Trade Return
+2.75%
Avg Hold Time
6.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$331,861.54
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,135.73
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,135.73
Gross Return
+16.80%
Net Return (after fees)
+16.80%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Monday Gold had $24,617.02 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 10:40am ET $952.31 25 $23,807.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 10:15am ET $1,001.73 25 $25,043.25 $25,852.52 +$1,235.50
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 10:15am ET $1,022.79 25 $25,569.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET $1,096.39 25 $27,409.75 $27,692.52 +$1,840.00
(+7.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:45am ET $1,059.89 26 $27,557.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 10:10am ET $1,115.00 26 $28,990.00 $29,125.38 +$1,432.86
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $1,128.69 25 $28,217.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 11:45am ET $1,186.26 25 $29,656.50 $30,564.63 +$1,439.25
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 12:00pm ET $1,151.09 26 $29,928.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 11:45am ET $1,115.77 26 $29,010.02 $29,646.31 $-918.32
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 11:15am ET $1,066.03 27 $28,782.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 2:55pm ET $1,032.93 27 $27,889.11 $28,752.75 $-893.56
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $28,752.75
Net Profit/Loss: +$18,752.75
Total Return: +187.53%
Back to Marcus Monday Gold