BLK Marcus Monday Gold's Analysis
to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 55 trades executed
+113.29%
2 Years Return
$28,752.75
Current Value
58%
Win Rate
$13,480.62
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
36.8 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-5.4%
EMA20 Dist
-4.3%
ATR%
2.6%
Range Pos
26%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
70
Lifetime
Confidence: 87%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
18.9/25
Win Rate
8.2/15
Profit Factor
10.5/15
Consistency
7.5/10
Raw Quality
80.1/100
× Confidence 0.87
= 69.6
30-Day Momentum
0
-1.3%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0
Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-70 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (87%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
40,967
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
513 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$13,480.62
Current Value
$28,752.75
Total P&L
$15,272.13
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.44
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
43
Winners / Losers
25 /
18
Best Trade
+7.20%
Worst Trade
-3.98%
Avg Trade Return
+1.89%
Avg Hold Time
8.8d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,643,524.41
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$15,272.13
Net P&L (after fees)
$15,272.13
Gross Return
+113.29%
Net Return (after fees)
+113.29%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 BLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 513 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Monday Gold had $13,480.62 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 30, 2024 9:40am ET | $941.26 | 14 | $13,177.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 11, 2024 9:55am ET | $988.39 | 14 | $13,837.46 | $14,140.43 |
+$659.82 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 21, 2024 11:30am ET | $1,001.37 | 14 | $14,019.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 25, 2024 1:40pm ET | $969.82 | 14 | $13,577.48 | $13,698.73 |
$-441.70 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2024 11:45am ET | $976.80 | 14 | $13,675.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2024 9:30am ET | $1,038.48 | 14 | $14,538.65 | $14,562.18 |
+$863.45 (+6.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2024 1:05pm ET | $1,054.92 | 13 | $13,713.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2024 10:05am ET | $1,019.05 | 13 | $13,247.65 | $14,095.94 |
$-466.25 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2024 3:45pm ET | $1,034.58 | 13 | $13,449.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2024 9:30am ET | $1,048.77 | 13 | $13,634.01 | $14,280.47 |
+$184.53 (+1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2024 9:35am ET | $1,031.26 | 13 | $13,406.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2025 9:35am ET | $998.65 | 13 | $12,982.39 | $13,856.48 |
$-424.00 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $949.71 | 14 | $13,295.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $1,013.69 | 14 | $14,191.59 | $14,752.13 |
+$895.65 (+6.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $1,056.54 | 13 | $13,735.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2025 11:00am ET | $1,023.40 | 13 | $13,304.14 | $14,321.24 |
$-430.89 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $989.65 | 14 | $13,855.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2025 1:10pm ET | $958.95 | 14 | $13,425.30 | $13,891.44 |
$-429.80 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2025 1:15pm ET | $977.52 | 14 | $13,685.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $944.30 | 14 | $13,220.13 | $13,426.36 |
$-465.08 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $912.73 | 14 | $12,778.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2025 2:45pm ET | $958.58 | 14 | $13,420.12 | $14,068.33 |
+$641.97 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2025 12:30pm ET | $964.83 | 14 | $13,507.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2025 9:30am ET | $933.00 | 14 | $13,062.00 | $13,622.71 |
$-445.62 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 9:40am ET | $777.27 | 17 | $13,213.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET | $829.78 | 17 | $14,106.26 | $14,515.47 |
+$892.76 (+6.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $865.23 | 16 | $13,843.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $916.82 | 16 | $14,669.12 | $15,340.99 |
+$825.52 (+6.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2025 12:05pm ET | $910.83 | 16 | $14,573.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $962.00 | 16 | $15,392.00 | $16,159.79 |
+$818.80 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $981.43 | 16 | $15,702.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $971.46 | 16 | $15,543.36 | $16,000.27 |
$-159.52 (-1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2025 12:25pm ET | $972.26 | 16 | $15,556.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2025 9:40am ET | $1,024.78 | 16 | $16,396.48 | $16,840.59 |
+$840.32 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2025 11:00am ET | $1,043.15 | 16 | $16,690.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2025 10:15am ET | $1,096.75 | 16 | $17,548.00 | $17,698.19 |
+$857.60 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2025 12:40pm ET | $1,105.85 | 16 | $17,693.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $1,170.00 | 16 | $18,720.00 | $18,724.59 |
+$1,026.40 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2025 12:45pm ET | $1,136.20 | 16 | $18,179.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2025 9:35am ET | $1,102.00 | 16 | $17,632.00 | $18,177.39 |
$-547.20 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2025 11:45am ET | $1,114.68 | 16 | $17,834.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 29, 2025 9:55am ET | $1,171.35 | 16 | $18,741.60 | $19,084.11 |
+$906.72 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 3:20pm ET | $1,155.84 | 16 | $18,493.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 9:45am ET | $1,214.96 | 16 | $19,439.36 | $20,030.03 |
+$945.92 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 27, 2025 12:15pm ET | $1,129.33 | 17 | $19,198.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $1,095.34 | 17 | $18,620.78 | $19,452.20 |
$-577.83 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 3, 2025 9:35am ET | $1,071.34 | 18 | $19,284.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 1:00pm ET | $1,036.53 | 18 | $18,657.54 | $18,825.62 |
$-626.58 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 11:55am ET | $1,017.00 | 18 | $18,306.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 12:30pm ET | $1,068.12 | 18 | $19,226.16 | $19,745.78 |
+$920.16 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 12:25pm ET | $1,060.32 | 18 | $19,085.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:55am ET | $1,119.05 | 18 | $20,142.90 | $20,803.01 |
+$1,057.23 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 12:35pm ET | $1,082.00 | 19 | $20,558.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,144.81 | 19 | $21,751.39 | $21,996.40 |
+$1,193.39 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 3:50pm ET | $1,122.99 | 19 | $21,336.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 11:25am ET | $1,089.27 | 19 | $20,696.13 | $21,355.81 |
$-640.58 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 10:25am ET | $1,061.74 | 20 | $21,234.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 11:05am ET | $1,029.61 | 20 | $20,592.30 | $20,713.31 |
$-642.50 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $934.66 | 22 | $20,562.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 10:00am ET | $981.99 | 22 | $21,603.89 | $21,754.68 |
+$1,041.37 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 12:40pm ET | $943.03 | 23 | $21,689.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,001.99 | 23 | $23,045.77 | $23,110.76 |
+$1,356.08 (+6.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $994.01 | 23 | $22,862.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,045.00 | 23 | $24,035.00 | $24,283.53 |
+$1,172.77 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,045.00 | 23 | $24,035.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 3:00pm ET | $1,097.93 | 23 | $25,252.39 | $25,500.92 |
+$1,217.39 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 2:20pm ET | $1,083.91 | 23 | $24,929.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 11:20am ET | $1,051.20 | 23 | $24,177.71 | $24,748.70 |
$-752.22 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,044.37 | 23 | $24,020.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 10:10am ET | $1,012.85 | 23 | $23,295.55 | $24,023.74 |
$-724.96 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 3:10pm ET | $992.10 | 24 | $23,810.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,058.68 | 24 | $25,408.32 | $25,621.66 |
+$1,597.92 (+6.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 11:15am ET | $1,052.89 | 24 | $25,269.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 12:55pm ET | $1,011.03 | 24 | $24,264.72 | $24,617.02 |
$-1,004.64 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 10:40am ET | $952.31 | 25 | $23,807.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 10:15am ET | $1,001.73 | 25 | $25,043.25 | $25,852.52 |
+$1,235.50 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 10:15am ET | $1,022.79 | 25 | $25,569.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,096.39 | 25 | $27,409.75 | $27,692.52 |
+$1,840.00 (+7.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 9:45am ET | $1,059.89 | 26 | $27,557.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 10:10am ET | $1,115.00 | 26 | $28,990.00 | $29,125.38 |
+$1,432.86 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 12:30pm ET | $1,128.69 | 25 | $28,217.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 11:45am ET | $1,186.26 | 25 | $29,656.50 | $30,564.63 |
+$1,439.25 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 12:00pm ET | $1,151.09 | 26 | $29,928.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 11:45am ET | $1,115.77 | 26 | $29,010.02 | $29,646.31 |
$-918.32 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 11:15am ET | $1,066.03 | 27 | $28,782.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 2:55pm ET | $1,032.93 | 27 | $27,889.11 | $28,752.75 |
$-893.56 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$28,752.75
Net Profit/Loss:
+$18,752.75
Total Return:
+187.53%