Compendium › Marcus Trend Dip › COP
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
COP
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Trend Dip's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-09 to present • 4 trades in period

-14.85%
Last Month Return
$12,431.28
Current Value
0%
Win Rate
$14,598.83
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-09 07:30:31

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
38
Fear
VIX
17.1
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.41%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.75
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.6
Active
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
58.1 neutral
20d Trend
+7.6%
5d Trend
-0.6%
EMA20 Dist
+2.4%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
80%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored May 9, 2026

31
Lifetime
Confidence: 79%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
17.0/35
Total Return
11.7/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
1.9/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 39.3/100
× Confidence 0.79 = 31.3

30-Day Momentum

1
-14.8%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-30 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (79%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-09 → 2026-05-08
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$14,598.83
Current Value
$12,431.28
Period P&L
$-2,167.56
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-4.88

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
0 / 4
Best Trade
-3.13%
Worst Trade
-5.14%
Avg Trade Return
-3.96%
Avg Hold Time
2.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$108,322.93
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,167.56
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,167.56
Gross Return
-14.85%
Net Return (after fees)
-14.85%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Trend Dip had $14,598.83 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 11:05am ET $126.85 115 $14,587.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:55am ET $122.68 115 $14,107.63 $14,118.72 $-480.12
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 10:50am ET $123.60 114 $14,090.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 10:15am ET $119.73 114 $13,649.22 $13,677.54 $-441.18
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 12:10pm ET $119.00 114 $13,566.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:35am ET $113.93 114 $12,988.59 $13,100.13 $-577.41
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 12:45pm ET $123.82 105 $13,001.10 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $117.45 105 $12,332.25 $12,431.28 $-668.85
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,431.28
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,431.28
Total Return: +24.31%
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