Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-26 08:01:06

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
13
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.6
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.76
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
⛈️ 3.6
Severe
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
30.4 neutral
20d Trend
-15.2%
5d Trend
-20.7%
EMA20 Dist
-16.9%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 26, 2026

62
Lifetime
Confidence: 82%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
16.8/25
Win Rate
8.2/15
Profit Factor
9.5/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 75.8/100
× Confidence 0.82 = 62.0

30-Day Momentum

17
+4.1%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 28.2 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-45 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (82%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-26 → 2026-06-25
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$15,892.11
Current Value
$20,403.61
Period P&L
$4,511.51
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.88

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
6 / 1
Best Trade
+6.19%
Worst Trade
-6.67%
Avg Trade Return
+3.77%
Avg Hold Time
1.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$264,181.58
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,511.51
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,511.51
Gross Return
+28.39%
Net Return (after fees)
+28.39%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Trend Dip had $15,892.11 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:55am ET $220.68 72 $15,888.96
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $232.37 72 $16,730.64 $16,733.78 +$841.68
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 12:05pm ET $328.06 51 $16,731.06
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 10:10am ET $345.29 51 $17,609.79 $17,612.51 +$878.73
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 10:50am ET $410.64 42 $17,246.88
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:50am ET $433.13 42 $18,191.25 $18,556.88 +$944.37
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 1:00pm ET $444.54 41 $18,226.14
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:30am ET $469.87 41 $19,264.67 $19,595.41 +$1,038.53
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 11:40am ET $489.62 40 $19,584.80
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 11:05am ET $514.67 40 $20,586.80 $20,597.41 +$1,002.00
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 12:40pm ET $509.00 40 $20,360.00
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $540.51 40 $21,620.20 $21,857.61 +$1,260.20
(+6.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 11:00am ET $544.93 40 $21,797.20
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $508.58 40 $20,343.20 $20,403.61 $-1,454.00
(-6.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $20,403.61
Net Profit/Loss: +$10,403.61
Total Return: +104.04%
Back to Marcus Trend Dip