Compendium › Marcus Trend Dip › COP
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
COP
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Trend Dip's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 2 trades in period

+10.33%
Last 3 Months Return
$13,715.76
Current Value
100%
Win Rate
$12,431.27
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:15:28

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
58.1 neutral
20d Trend
+7.6%
5d Trend
-0.6%
EMA20 Dist
+2.4%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
80%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

41
Lifetime
Confidence: 78%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
26.0/35
Total Return
13.1/25
Win Rate
5.0/15
Profit Factor
3.1/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 52.7/100
× Confidence 0.78 = 41.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (78%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,431.27
Current Value
$13,715.76
Period P&L
$1,284.48
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
871.79

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
2
Winners / Losers
2 / 0
Best Trade
+5.06%
Worst Trade
+5.05%
Avg Trade Return
+5.06%
Avg Hold Time
10.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$52,091.68
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,284.48
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,284.48
Gross Return
+10.33%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.33%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 2 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Trend Dip had $12,431.27 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 12:50pm ET $125.48 99 $12,422.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 10:20am ET $131.83 99 $13,051.38 $13,060.14 +$628.86
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 10:45am ET $132.46 98 $12,981.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:40am ET $139.15 98 $13,636.70 $13,715.76 +$655.62
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,715.76
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,715.76
Total Return: +37.16%
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