Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:00:09

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.4 neutral
20d Trend
-15.2%
5d Trend
-20.7%
EMA20 Dist
-16.9%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

63
Lifetime
Confidence: 82%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
17.3/25
Win Rate
8.3/15
Profit Factor
10.3/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 77.3/100
× Confidence 0.82 = 63.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (82%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$16,233.74
Current Value
$21,995.02
Period P&L
$5,761.30
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.90

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
9 / 2
Best Trade
+6.50%
Worst Trade
-6.67%
Avg Trade Return
+3.70%
Avg Hold Time
2.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$421,286.77
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$5,761.30
Net P&L (after fees)
$5,761.30
Gross Return
+35.49%
Net Return (after fees)
+35.49%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Trend Dip had $16,233.74 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 12:40pm ET $198.60 75 $14,895.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $211.51 75 $15,862.88 $15,892.10 +$967.87
(+6.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:55am ET $220.68 72 $15,888.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $232.37 72 $16,730.64 $16,733.78 +$841.68
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 12:05pm ET $328.06 51 $16,731.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 10:10am ET $345.29 51 $17,609.79 $17,612.51 +$878.73
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 10:50am ET $410.64 42 $17,246.88 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:50am ET $433.13 42 $18,191.25 $18,556.88 +$944.37
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 1:00pm ET $444.54 41 $18,226.14 — — —
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:30am ET $469.87 41 $19,264.67 $19,595.41 +$1,038.53
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 11:40am ET $489.62 40 $19,584.80 — — —
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 11:05am ET $514.67 40 $20,586.80 $20,597.41 +$1,002.00
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 12:40pm ET $509.00 40 $20,360.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $540.51 40 $21,620.20 $21,857.61 +$1,260.20
(+6.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 11:00am ET $544.93 40 $21,797.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $508.58 40 $20,343.20 $20,403.61 $-1,454.00
(-6.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 11:35am ET $484.00 42 $20,328.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $509.48 42 $21,397.95 $21,473.56 +$1,069.95
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 11:05am ET $484.49 44 $21,317.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 11:50am ET $469.61 44 $20,663.06 $20,819.06 $-654.50
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 11:05am ET $505.67 41 $20,732.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $534.35 41 $21,908.35 $21,995.02 +$1,175.96
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $21,995.02
Net Profit/Loss: +$11,995.02
Total Return: +119.95%
Back to Marcus Trend Dip