Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:17:34

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
14.6 oversold
20d Trend
-30.9%
5d Trend
-17.8%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.6%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

24
Lifetime
Confidence: 80%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
11.4/35
Total Return
10.3/25
Win Rate
2.0/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 30.6/100
× Confidence 0.80 = 24.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (80%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,803.08
Current Value
$11,629.55
Period P&L
$-2,173.54
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.35

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
3 / 10
Best Trade
+5.34%
Worst Trade
-3.56%
Avg Trade Return
-1.25%
Avg Hold Time
2.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$334,643.11
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,173.54
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,173.54
Gross Return
-15.75%
Net Return (after fees)
-15.75%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOFI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Trend Dip had $13,803.08 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:40am ET $16.61 830 $13,790.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 10:05am ET $16.10 830 $13,367.15 $13,379.79 $-423.30
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 11:05am ET $17.75 753 $13,369.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 2:10pm ET $18.69 753 $14,071.39 $14,081.66 +$701.87
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 12:00pm ET $19.87 708 $14,067.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $19.22 708 $13,606.27 $13,620.04 $-461.62
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 10:40am ET $16.18 841 $13,607.38 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 11:45am ET $15.68 841 $13,182.68 $13,195.33 $-424.71
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 11:45am ET $16.43 803 $13,193.29 — — —
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:35am ET $15.93 803 $12,787.78 $12,789.81 $-405.52
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 11:05am ET $17.33 738 $12,785.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:50am ET $18.25 738 $13,468.50 $13,472.46 +$682.65
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 1:35pm ET $17.50 769 $13,461.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:40am ET $16.98 769 $13,053.78 $13,064.89 $-407.57
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 10:55am ET $18.54 704 $13,052.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 10:15am ET $17.88 704 $12,587.52 $12,600.04 $-464.85
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 10:45am ET $18.93 665 $12,591.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 11:35am ET $18.33 665 $12,192.77 $12,201.04 $-399.00
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 11:00am ET $16.89 722 $12,190.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:45am ET $16.36 722 $11,815.53 $11,825.60 $-375.44
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 1:15pm ET $18.15 651 $11,817.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 10:00am ET $19.09 651 $12,428.37 $12,435.98 +$610.38
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 10:40am ET $18.18 684 $12,435.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 10:10am ET $17.63 684 $12,055.50 $12,056.36 $-379.62
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 12:00pm ET $17.35 694 $12,044.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 2:55pm ET $16.74 694 $11,617.56 $11,629.55 $-426.81
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,629.55
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,629.55
Total Return: +16.30%
Back to Marcus Trend Dip