Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 04:05:52

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

50
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
15.6/25
Win Rate
5.6/15
Profit Factor
4.2/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 66.4/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 49.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
17,092
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$17,215.77
Current Value
$17,436.18
Period P&L
$220.41
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
5 / 8
Best Trade
+8.61%
Worst Trade
-6.87%
Avg Trade Return
+0.12%
Avg Hold Time
3.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$450,825.28
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$220.41
Net P&L (after fees)
$220.41
Gross Return
+1.28%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.28%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Trend Dip had $17,215.77 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 12:30pm ET $350.77 49 $17,187.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:35am ET $339.20 49 $16,620.80 $16,879.14 $-566.93
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 12:15pm ET $343.62 49 $16,837.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 1:35pm ET $333.29 49 $16,331.21 $16,372.97 $-506.17
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 11:00am ET $331.30 49 $16,233.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 9:35am ET $321.30 49 $15,743.70 $15,882.97 $-490.00
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 1:10pm ET $339.14 46 $15,600.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 3:35pm ET $328.88 46 $15,128.48 $15,411.01 $-471.96
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 10:45am ET $323.75 47 $15,216.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $351.63 47 $16,526.61 $16,721.44 +$1,310.43
(+8.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 11:10am ET $353.74 47 $16,625.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:50am ET $373.50 47 $17,554.50 $17,650.16 +$928.72
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 11:55am ET $392.70 44 $17,278.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 10:50am ET $413.75 44 $18,205.00 $18,576.36 +$926.20
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 2:30pm ET $428.60 43 $18,429.80 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 11:25am ET $413.63 43 $17,786.09 $17,932.65 $-643.71
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 10:55am ET $437.88 40 $17,515.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 12:05pm ET $460.79 40 $18,431.60 $18,849.25 +$916.60
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 10:40am ET $378.24 49 $18,533.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $366.46 49 $17,956.54 $18,272.25 $-577.00
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 10:40am ET $386.39 47 $18,160.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 9:35am ET $408.15 47 $19,183.28 $19,295.22 +$1,022.97
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 10:40am ET $368.71 52 $19,172.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 10:00am ET $357.57 52 $18,593.38 $18,715.68 $-579.54
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 10:40am ET $372.52 50 $18,626.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $346.93 50 $17,346.50 $17,436.18 $-1,279.50
(-6.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $17,436.18
Net Profit/Loss: +$7,436.18
Total Return: +74.36%
Back to Marcus Trend Dip