Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-27 12:05:09

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
15
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.9
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.40%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.78
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.5
Active
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
14.6 oversold
20d Trend
-30.9%
5d Trend
-17.8%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.6%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 27, 2026

37
Lifetime
Confidence: 79%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
21.5/35
Total Return
12.5/25
Win Rate
4.4/15
Profit Factor
2.4/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 47.2/100
× Confidence 0.79 = 37.5

30-Day Momentum

0
-1.0%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-37 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (79%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
12,168
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-06-26
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$13,803.08
Current Value
$13,064.89
Period P&L
$-738.20
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.19

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
2 / 5
Best Trade
+5.34%
Worst Trade
-3.28%
Avg Trade Return
-0.71%
Avg Hold Time
1.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$187,813.25
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-738.20
Net P&L (after fees)
$-738.20
Gross Return
-5.35%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.35%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOFI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Trend Dip had $13,803.08 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:40am ET $16.61 830 $13,790.45
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 10:05am ET $16.10 830 $13,367.15 $13,379.79 $-423.30
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 11:05am ET $17.75 753 $13,369.51
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 2:10pm ET $18.69 753 $14,071.39 $14,081.66 +$701.87
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 12:00pm ET $19.87 708 $14,067.89
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $19.22 708 $13,606.27 $13,620.04 $-461.62
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 10:40am ET $16.18 841 $13,607.38
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 11:45am ET $15.68 841 $13,182.68 $13,195.33 $-424.71
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 11:45am ET $16.43 803 $13,193.29
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:35am ET $15.93 803 $12,787.78 $12,789.81 $-405.52
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 11:05am ET $17.33 738 $12,785.85
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:50am ET $18.25 738 $13,468.50 $13,472.46 +$682.65
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 1:35pm ET $17.50 769 $13,461.34
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:40am ET $16.98 769 $13,053.78 $13,064.89 $-407.57
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,064.89
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,064.89
Total Return: +30.65%
Back to Marcus Trend Dip