Compendium › Marcus Triple Threat › XLF
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
XLF
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Triple Threat's Analysis

to 2026-05-08 19:55:00+00 • 10 trades executed

+20.47%
2 Years Return
$12,046.72
Current Value
60%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-09 06:42:47

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
38
Fear
VIX
17.1
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.41%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.75
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.6
Active
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
44.4 neutral
20d Trend
-1.7%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.7%
ATR%
1.2%
Range Pos
44%
Bounce Ratio
1.3×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 11, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 43%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
14.3/35
Total Return
11.1/25
Win Rate
7.5/15
Profit Factor
4.1/15
Consistency
7.1/10
Raw Quality 44.1/100
× Confidence 0.43 = 19.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (43%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
68,014
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-09 → 2026-05-08
Trading Days
534 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$12,046.72
Total P&L
$2,046.73
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.48

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
10
Winners / Losers
6 / 4
Best Trade
+5.30%
Worst Trade
-4.73%
Avg Trade Return
+1.96%
Avg Hold Time
11.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$216,828.65
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,046.73
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,046.73
Gross Return
+20.47%
Net Return (after fees)
+20.47%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XLF Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 534 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Triple Threat had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET $40.77 245 $9,988.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2024 10:20am ET $42.83 245 $10,492.13 $10,503.48 +$503.48
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2024 2:00pm ET $49.02 214 $10,490.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 10, 2025 10:00am ET $47.46 214 $10,155.37 $10,168.57 $-334.91
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2025 9:30am ET $48.15 211 $10,159.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2025 9:30am ET $50.70 211 $10,696.65 $10,705.58 +$537.02
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET $48.45 220 $10,659.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET $46.16 220 $10,155.20 $10,201.78 $-503.80
(-4.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $42.63 239 $10,188.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 10:15am ET $44.89 239 $10,728.71 $10,741.92 +$540.14
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 1:30pm ET $44.33 242 $10,726.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 1:55pm ET $46.63 242 $11,284.46 $11,299.73 +$557.81
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2025 12:00pm ET $47.03 240 $11,287.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2025 11:30am ET $45.62 240 $10,947.60 $10,960.13 $-339.60
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2025 1:25pm ET $46.62 235 $10,954.53 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2025 1:15pm ET $48.96 235 $11,504.43 $11,510.03 +$549.90
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Oct 16, 2025 9:55am ET $52.68 218 $11,484.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $52.43 218 $11,428.65 $11,454.44 $-55.59
(-0.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 11:35am ET $51.82 221 $11,452.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 9:40am ET $54.50 221 $12,044.50 $12,046.72 +$592.28
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,046.72
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,046.72
Total Return: +20.47%
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