Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-07-26 19:32:25

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
26
Fear
VIX
18.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.71%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.4
Unsettled
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
47.3 neutral
20d Trend
+0.4%
5d Trend
+2.5%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
2.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored May 23, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 49%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
14.9/35
Total Return
11.2/25
Win Rate
4.7/15
Profit Factor
2.4/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 39.0/100
× Confidence 0.49 = 19.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (49%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
23,154
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-07-28 → 2026-07-24
Trading Days
264 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$12,375.97
Current Value
$12,125.03
Period P&L
$-250.94
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.10

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
2 / 3
Best Trade
+5.12%
Worst Trade
-3.36%
Avg Trade Return
-0.36%
Avg Hold Time
16.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$123,540.24
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-250.94
Net P&L (after fees)
$-250.94
Gross Return
-2.03%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.03%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 V Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 264 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Volume Panic had $12,375.97 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 1:25pm ET $338.70 36 $12,193.26
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2025 9:30am ET $347.19 36 $12,498.84 $12,681.55 +$305.58
(+2.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 3:35pm ET $347.99 36 $12,527.64
🔴 SELL Oct 16, 2025 12:30pm ET $336.30 36 $12,106.80 $12,260.71 $-420.84
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 1:35pm ET $327.94 37 $12,133.77
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 2:20pm ET $344.72 37 $12,754.49 $12,881.43 +$620.72
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $322.77 39 $12,587.84
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:25pm ET $313.00 39 $12,207.00 $12,500.60 $-380.83
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $319.31 39 $12,453.09
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 1:30pm ET $309.68 39 $12,077.52 $12,125.03 $-375.57
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,125.03
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,125.03
Total Return: +21.25%
Back to Marcus Volume Panic