Compendium › Momo Momentum › ARM
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
ARM
Alpaca Tradeable

Momo Momentum's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-06-01 to present • 3 trades in period

+15.80%
Last Month Return
$40,663.18
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$35,115.99
Period Start
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PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-07-01 02:09:41

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
11
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.38%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.80
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.6
Quiet
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
46.9 neutral
20d Trend
-0.2%
5d Trend
+2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.9%
ATR%
6.3%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 30, 2026

60
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
20.7/25
Win Rate
5.7/15
Profit Factor
3.6/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 69.9/100
× Confidence 0.86 = 60.3

30-Day Momentum

36
+15.8%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
2.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 59.4 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-24 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-01 → 2026-06-30
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$35,115.99
Current Value
$40,663.18
Period P&L
$5,547.20
Max Drawdown
-30.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.67

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
2 / 1
Best Trade
+11.32%
Worst Trade
-5.90%
Avg Trade Return
+5.34%
Avg Hold Time
2.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$214,128.08
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$5,547.20
Net P&L (after fees)
$5,547.20
Gross Return
+15.80%
Net Return (after fees)
+15.80%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $35,115.99 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $395.64 88 $34,816.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 10:00am ET $372.29 88 $32,761.52 $33,061.18 $-2,054.80
(-5.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 2:10pm ET $317.58 104 $33,028.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $353.54 104 $36,768.16 $36,801.02 +$3,739.84
(+11.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 11:05am ET $396.15 92 $36,445.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:40pm ET $438.13 92 $40,307.96 $40,663.18 +$3,862.16
(+10.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $40,663.18
Net Profit/Loss: +$30,663.18
Total Return: +306.63%
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