Compendium › Momo Momentum › DKNG
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
DKNG
Alpaca Tradeable

Momo Momentum's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-25 to present • 3 trades in period

-15.71%
Last Month Return
$9,806.33
Current Value
0%
Win Rate
$11,634.42
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:13:27

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.5 oversold
20d Trend
-25.9%
5d Trend
-7.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
5.3%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 84%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
2.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 7.0/100
× Confidence 0.84 = 5.9

30-Day Momentum

0
-15.7%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (84%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,634.42
Current Value
$9,806.33
Period P&L
$-1,828.07
Max Drawdown
-22.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-18.19

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
0 / 3
Best Trade
-5.26%
Worst Trade
-5.97%
Avg Trade Return
-5.55%
Avg Hold Time
3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$63,949.75
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,828.07
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,828.07
Gross Return
-15.71%
Net Return (after fees)
-15.71%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DKNG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $11,634.42 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 1:25pm ET $25.80 450 $11,610.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $24.26 450 $10,917.00 $10,941.40 $-693.00
(-6.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:35am ET $24.73 442 $10,930.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:50am ET $23.43 442 $10,356.06 $10,366.58 $-574.82
(-5.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 10:10am ET $23.25 445 $10,348.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 11:50am ET $22.00 445 $9,787.78 $9,806.33 $-560.25
(-5.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,806.33
Net Profit/Loss: $-193.67
Total Return: -1.94%
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