Compendium › Momo Momentum › LINKUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
LINKUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Momo Momentum's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-24 to present • 3 trades in period

-14.80%
Last Month Return
$2,178.26
Current Value
0%
Win Rate
$2,447.98
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:43:32

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
23.6 oversold
20d Trend
-35.0%
5d Trend
-42.1%
EMA20 Dist
-37.0%
ATR%
14.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.7/10
Raw Quality 2.9/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 2.8

30-Day Momentum

0
-14.4%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,249
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
33 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$2,447.98
Current Value
$2,178.26
Period P&L
$-362.38
Max Drawdown
-82.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-109.99

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
0 / 3
Best Trade
-5.01%
Worst Trade
-5.11%
Avg Trade Return
-5.05%
Avg Hold Time
5.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$14,143.41
Estimated Fees
$35.36
Gross P&L
$-362.38
Net P&L (after fees)
$-397.74
Gross Return
-14.80%
Net Return (after fees)
-16.25%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LINKUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 33 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $2,447.98 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 3:45am ET $11.60 219 $2,544.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 6:25am ET $11.02 219 $2,416.96 $2,416.96 $-139.81
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
12.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 6, 2026 4:50pm ET $13.09 185 $2,416.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:35am ET $12.42 185 $2,293.43 $2,293.43 $-135.31
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:55am ET $11.96 192 $2,293.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 13, 2026 4:35am ET $11.36 192 $2,178.26 $2,178.26 $-126.35
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $2,178.26
Net Profit/Loss: $-7,821.74
Total Return: -78.22%
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