Compendium › Momo Momentum › MRNA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MRNA
Alpaca Tradeable

Momo Momentum's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-24 to present • 5 trades in period

+10.70%
Last Month Return
$11,508.78
Current Value
40%
Win Rate
$10,396.81
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:43:20

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
45 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
-10.0%
EMA20 Dist
-6.7%
ATR%
7.8%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

16
Lifetime
Confidence: 90%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.8/35
Total Return
10.0/25
Win Rate
1.8/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 18.1/100
× Confidence 0.90 = 16.2

30-Day Momentum

23
+10.1%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 34.1 Conf: 0.66×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (90%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,396.81
Current Value
$11,508.78
Period P&L
$1,111.97
Max Drawdown
-67.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
2 / 3
Best Trade
+10.65%
Worst Trade
-7.07%
Avg Trade Return
+0.78%
Avg Hold Time
4.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$102,324.91
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,111.97
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,111.97
Gross Return
+10.70%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.70%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRNA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $10,396.81 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 9:35am ET $144.45 77 $11,122.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:35am ET $134.23 77 $10,335.92 $10,457.85 $-786.73
(-7.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 9:35am ET $147.38 70 $10,316.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 11:25am ET $139.65 70 $9,775.50 $9,916.76 $-541.09
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 10:15am ET $143.51 69 $9,902.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 3:20pm ET $136.25 69 $9,401.25 $9,415.82 $-500.94
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
9.2d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 10:00am ET $144.51 65 $9,393.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 10:00am ET $159.84 65 $10,389.60 $10,412.27 +$996.45
(+10.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 9:40am ET $163.43 63 $10,295.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 10:20am ET $180.83 63 $11,392.29 $11,508.78 +$1,096.51
(+10.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,508.78
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,508.78
Total Return: +15.09%
Back to Momo Momentum