Compendium › Momo Momentum › PEPEUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
PEPEUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Momo Momentum's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-25 to present • 6 trades in period

-5.32%
Last Month Return
$17,228.80
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$15,509.16
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:16:44

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.2 neutral
20d Trend
-19.0%
5d Trend
-17.2%
EMA20 Dist
+0.0%
ATR%
10.6%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

24
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.0/35
Total Return
15.5/25
Win Rate
2.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.0/10
Raw Quality 24.2/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 24.1

30-Day Momentum

3
-1.7%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-21 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,980
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
32 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$15,509.16
Current Value
$17,228.80
Period P&L
$-825.66
Max Drawdown
-85.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.00

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
2 / 4
Best Trade
+10.43%
Worst Trade
-5.33%
Avg Trade Return
-0.03%
Avg Hold Time
15.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$209,065.08
Estimated Fees
$522.66
Gross P&L
$-825.66
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,348.32
Gross Return
-5.32%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.69%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PEPEUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 32 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $15,509.16 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 10:50am ET $0.00000372 4,712,849,462 $17,531.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:00am ET $0.00000353 4,712,849,462 $16,636.36 $16,636.36 $-980.86
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.2h held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:50am ET $0.00000343 4,850,250,729 $16,636.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 2:55pm ET $0.00000325 4,850,250,729 $15,763.31 $15,763.31 $-954.04
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2026 12:50pm ET $0.00000402 3,921,221,393 $15,763.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 10:30am ET $0.00000443 3,921,221,393 $17,371.01 $17,371.01 +$1,524.86
(+10.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 10:50am ET $0.00000460 3,776,306,522 $17,371.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 12:00pm ET $0.00000508 3,776,306,522 $19,183.64 $19,183.64 +$1,721.24
(+10.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 12:05pm ET $0.00000506 3,791,233,202 $19,183.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 5:25pm ET $0.00000480 3,791,233,202 $18,197.92 $18,197.92 $-1,079.17
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 8:45pm ET $0.00000507 3,589,333,333 $18,197.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 12:20pm ET $0.00000480 3,589,333,333 $17,228.80 $17,228.80 $-1,057.69
(-5.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
15.6h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $17,228.80
Net Profit/Loss: +$7,228.80
Total Return: +72.29%
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