Compendium › Momo Momentum › SMCI
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SMCI
Alpaca Tradeable

Momo Momentum's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-06-01 to present • 4 trades in period

-4.60%
Last Month Return
$9,752.46
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$10,222.91
Period Start
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PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-07-01 02:10:32

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
11
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.38%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.80
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.6
Quiet
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
45.9 neutral
20d Trend
+4.5%
5d Trend
+2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.9%
ATR%
6.5%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Jun 30, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
3.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.6/10
Raw Quality 6.6/100
× Confidence 0.92 = 6.1

30-Day Momentum

1
-4.6%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-01 → 2026-06-30
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,222.91
Current Value
$9,752.46
Period P&L
$-470.47
Max Drawdown
-72.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.11

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
1 / 3
Best Trade
+12.60%
Worst Trade
-5.53%
Avg Trade Return
-0.89%
Avg Hold Time
2.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$74,777.08
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-470.47
Net P&L (after fees)
$-470.47
Gross Return
-4.60%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.60%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SMCI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $10,222.91 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:35am ET $50.65 201 $10,180.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:45am ET $47.85 201 $9,617.85 $9,660.13 $-562.80
(-5.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $43.83 220 $9,642.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:45am ET $41.55 220 $9,141.00 $9,158.53 $-501.60
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 11:05am ET $31.43 291 $9,146.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 10:20am ET $29.73 291 $8,649.98 $8,662.38 $-496.15
(-5.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 10:20am ET $30.05 288 $8,654.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:35am ET $33.83 288 $9,744.48 $9,752.46 +$1,090.08
(+12.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,752.46
Net Profit/Loss: $-247.54
Total Return: -2.48%
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