Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-05-09 07:51:53

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
38
Fear
VIX
17.1
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.41%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.75
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.6
Active
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
45.9 neutral
20d Trend
+4.5%
5d Trend
+2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.9%
ATR%
6.5%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored May 9, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
3.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.8/10
Raw Quality 7.0/100
× Confidence 0.92 = 6.4

30-Day Momentum

12
+3.5%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 16.7 Conf: 0.70×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-09 → 2026-05-08
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$8,546.94
Current Value
$8,994.41
Period P&L
$447.45
Max Drawdown
-72.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.12

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
2 / 3
Best Trade
+12.36%
Worst Trade
-6.59%
Avg Trade Return
+1.06%
Avg Hold Time
3.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$91,719.60
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$447.45
Net P&L (after fees)
$447.45
Gross Return
+5.24%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.24%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SMCI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $8,546.94 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $24.03 361 $8,674.83
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $27.00 361 $9,747.00 $9,759.92 +$1,072.17
(+12.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 11:25am ET $28.10 347 $9,750.70
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $26.51 347 $9,198.97 $9,208.19 $-551.73
(-5.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:50am ET $28.61 321 $9,183.81
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $26.73 321 $8,578.73 $8,603.10 $-605.09
(-6.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
4 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 10:30am ET $28.32 303 $8,580.96
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $31.36 303 $9,502.08 $9,524.22 +$921.12
(+10.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
5 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 11:05am ET $35.12 271 $9,516.17
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 1:20pm ET $33.16 271 $8,986.36 $8,994.41 $-529.81
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,994.41
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,005.59
Total Return: -10.06%
Back to Momo Momentum