Compendium › Momo Momentum › TQQQ
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
TQQQ
Alpaca Tradeable

Momo Momentum's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-06-01 to present • 4 trades in period

-11.35%
Last Month Return
$7,624.30
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$8,600.71
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-07-01 02:14:52

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
11
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.38%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.80
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.6
Quiet
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
31.4 neutral
20d Trend
-11.9%
5d Trend
-13.2%
EMA20 Dist
-11.3%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 30, 2026

7
Lifetime
Confidence: 85%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
3.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 8.3/100
× Confidence 0.85 = 7.1

30-Day Momentum

1
-11.3%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (85%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-01 → 2026-06-30
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$8,600.71
Current Value
$7,624.30
Period P&L
$-976.43
Max Drawdown
-45.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.32

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
1 / 3
Best Trade
+11.44%
Worst Trade
-8.96%
Avg Trade Return
-2.67%
Avg Hold Time
2.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$66,720.05
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-976.43
Net P&L (after fees)
$-976.43
Gross Return
-11.35%
Net Return (after fees)
-11.35%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $8,600.71 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 11:00am ET $77.95 110 $8,574.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET $73.54 110 $8,089.40 $8,115.93 $-484.80
(-5.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 2:45pm ET $74.38 109 $8,106.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $82.88 109 $9,033.92 $9,042.97 +$927.04
(+11.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 10:25am ET $82.34 109 $8,975.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $74.96 109 $8,170.64 $8,238.55 $-804.42
(-9.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $78.02 105 $8,192.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET $72.17 105 $7,577.85 $7,624.30 $-614.25
(-7.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,624.30
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,375.70
Total Return: -23.76%
Back to Momo Momentum