Compendium › Momo Momentum › DOGEUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
DOGEUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Momo Momentum's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-09-24 to present • 12 trades in period

-39.77%
Last Year Return
$7,461.37
Current Value
17%
Win Rate
$11,908.63
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:43:36

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
21.8 oversold
20d Trend
-37.1%
5d Trend
-36.5%
EMA20 Dist
-35.0%
ATR%
12.1%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
2.9/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.2/10
Raw Quality 6.1/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 5.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
105,432
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
367 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$11,908.63
Current Value
$7,461.37
Period P&L
$-4,736.10
Max Drawdown
-66.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.59

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
2 / 10
Best Trade
+10.56%
Worst Trade
-10.69%
Avg Trade Return
-3.92%
Avg Hold Time
4.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$233,956.58
Estimated Fees
$584.89
Gross P&L
$-4,736.10
Net P&L (after fees)
$-5,320.99
Gross Return
-39.77%
Net Return (after fees)
-44.68%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DOGEUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 367 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $11,908.63 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2025 8:30pm ET $0.2518 50,180 $12,637.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2025 12:20am ET $0.2316 50,180 $11,623.11 $11,562.46 $-1,074.78
(-8.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2025 12:45am ET $0.2365 48,898 $11,562.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 2, 2025 3:10pm ET $0.2606 48,898 $12,744.82 $12,684.05 +$1,121.59
(+10.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8.6d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 7:15pm ET $0.1423 89,144 $12,684.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 18, 2026 7:00pm ET $0.1271 89,144 $11,328.36 $11,268.33 $-1,415.72
(-10.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
16d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 18, 2026 7:05pm ET $0.1268 88,860 $11,268.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:10am ET $0.1160 88,860 $10,307.50 $10,253.56 $-1,014.77
(-8.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10.6d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 10:15am ET $0.1018 100,769 $10,253.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 11:50am ET $0.0960 100,769 $9,676.29 $9,676.29 $-627.09
(-5.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 10:20am ET $0.0964 100,360 $9,676.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 12:50am ET $0.0913 100,360 $9,162.20 $9,162.20 $-561.18
(-5.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
14.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 7:10am ET $0.0944 97,108 $9,162.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 6:55am ET $0.0894 97,108 $8,684.16 $8,684.16 $-522.66
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 11:35pm ET $0.0911 95,310 $8,684.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 10:55pm ET $0.0864 95,310 $8,239.40 $8,239.40 $-487.06
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 5:40pm ET $0.0893 92,256 $8,239.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2026 12:35am ET $0.0987 92,256 $9,109.37 $9,109.37 +$826.60
(+10.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6.9h held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2026 12:45am ET $0.1003 90,843 $9,109.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2026 1:10am ET $0.0914 90,843 $8,302.82 $8,302.82 $-850.08
(-8.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 11:00am ET $0.0879 94,497 $8,302.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:20am ET $0.0833 94,497 $7,868.64 $7,868.64 $-474.61
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 11:10am ET $0.0976 80,602 $7,868.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 11:55am ET $0.0926 80,602 $7,461.37 $7,461.37 $-445.60
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,461.37
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,538.63
Total Return: -25.39%
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