Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:16:27

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
36.7 neutral
20d Trend
-7.0%
5d Trend
-5.4%
EMA20 Dist
-4.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
59%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

7
Lifetime
Confidence: 61%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.5/35
Total Return
3.9/25
Win Rate
2.3/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
4.1/10
Raw Quality 10.8/100
× Confidence 0.61 = 6.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (61%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
21,864
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
262 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$12,247.29
Current Value
$10,192.47
Period P&L
$-2,054.82
Max Drawdown
-15.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.35

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
2 / 6
Best Trade
+7.45%
Worst Trade
-8.20%
Avg Trade Return
-2.07%
Avg Hold Time
15.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$173,581.54
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,054.82
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,054.82
Gross Return
-16.78%
Net Return (after fees)
-16.78%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 262 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $12,247.29 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 12, 2025 9:40am ET $785.07 15 $11,776.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 2, 2025 9:40am ET $784.14 15 $11,762.03 $12,084.31 $-14.03
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 3, 2025 9:40am ET $784.54 15 $11,768.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 23, 2025 9:40am ET $749.70 15 $11,245.50 $11,561.71 $-522.60
(-4.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 10:00am ET $836.82 13 $10,878.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 10:05am ET $769.53 13 $10,003.88 $10,686.93 $-874.78
(-8.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 9:35am ET $838.73 12 $10,064.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 24, 2025 9:35am ET $898.98 12 $10,787.70 $11,409.87 +$722.94
(+7.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 12:30pm ET $906.72 12 $10,880.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 12:30pm ET $974.30 12 $11,691.60 $12,220.83 +$810.96
(+7.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 12:45pm ET $961.69 12 $11,540.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $882.84 12 $10,594.08 $11,274.69 $-946.14
(-8.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:35am ET $916.66 12 $10,999.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:55am ET $868.87 12 $10,426.44 $10,701.15 $-573.54
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:35am ET $1,092.81 9 $9,835.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 1:20pm ET $1,036.29 9 $9,326.61 $10,192.47 $-508.68
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,192.47
Net Profit/Loss: +$192.47
Total Return: +1.92%
Back to Momo Momentum