Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 04:19:53

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
24.1 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

22
Lifetime
Confidence: 63%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.9/35
Total Return
10.8/25
Win Rate
9.4/15
Profit Factor
2.2/15
Consistency
5.6/10
Raw Quality 34.9/100
× Confidence 0.63 = 22.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (63%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
21,135
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
261 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$11,516.97
Current Value
$11,907.46
Period P&L
$390.47
Max Drawdown
-9.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.12

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
3 / 2
Best Trade
+10.35%
Worst Trade
-8.08%
Avg Trade Return
+0.85%
Avg Hold Time
13.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$113,666.47
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$390.47
Net P&L (after fees)
$390.47
Gross Return
+3.39%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.39%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ISRG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 261 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $11,516.97 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 23, 2025 9:40am ET $535.98 21 $11,255.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 9:30am ET $571.50 21 $12,001.40 $12,262.81 +$745.82
(+6.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 9:30am ET $566.48 21 $11,896.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 9:30am ET $568.93 21 $11,947.53 $12,314.26 +$51.45
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:35am ET $587.10 20 $11,741.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 9:55am ET $539.64 20 $10,792.80 $11,365.16 $-949.10
(-8.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:45am ET $480.88 23 $11,060.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:45am ET $456.38 23 $10,496.74 $10,801.66 $-563.50
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 10:40am ET $356.14 30 $10,684.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $393.00 30 $11,790.00 $11,907.46 +$1,105.80
(+10.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
14.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,907.46
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,907.46
Total Return: +19.07%
Back to Momo Momentum