Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:43:25

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.1%
ATR%
3.7%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
2.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 6.6/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 4.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
23,592
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$9,458.28
Current Value
$9,874.10
Period P&L
$415.81
Max Drawdown
-28.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
4 / 6
Best Trade
+11.52%
Worst Trade
-5.31%
Avg Trade Return
+0.68%
Avg Hold Time
18.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$194,221.27
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$415.81
Net P&L (after fees)
$415.81
Gross Return
+4.40%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.40%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LLY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $9,458.28 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 5, 2025 9:30am ET $738.79 12 $8,865.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 25, 2025 9:30am ET $738.99 12 $8,867.82 $9,396.30 +$2.34
(+0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 2, 2025 9:40am ET $822.12 11 $9,043.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2025 9:40am ET $800.00 11 $8,800.00 $9,152.98 $-243.32
(-2.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 23, 2025 9:55am ET $819.02 11 $9,009.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 10:25am ET $913.33 11 $10,046.62 $10,190.44 +$1,037.45
(+11.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
12.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 10:35am ET $940.09 10 $9,400.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 11:25am ET $1,034.85 10 $10,348.50 $11,138.04 +$947.60
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
13d held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 11:30am ET $1,048.05 10 $10,480.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 11:30am ET $997.60 10 $9,976.00 $10,633.54 $-504.50
(-4.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:35am ET $1,077.06 9 $9,693.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET $1,056.05 9 $9,504.45 $10,444.45 $-189.09
(-1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $899.30 11 $9,892.30 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 1:30pm ET $989.89 11 $10,888.79 $11,440.94 +$996.49
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.2d held
8 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 10:30am ET $1,144.60 9 $10,301.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:50am ET $1,087.33 9 $9,785.95 $10,925.44 $-515.50
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:55am ET $1,195.56 9 $10,760.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 10:00am ET $1,132.06 9 $10,188.50 $10,353.94 $-571.50
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET $1,177.99 8 $9,423.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 11:30am ET $1,118.01 8 $8,944.08 $9,874.10 $-479.84
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
34.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,874.10
Net Profit/Loss: $-125.90
Total Return: -1.26%
Back to Momo Momentum