Compendium › Momo Momentum › LTCUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
LTCUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Momo Momentum's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 14 trades in period

-50.84%
Last Year Return
$2,702.40
Current Value
29%
Win Rate
$5,391.09
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:13:38

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.8 oversold
20d Trend
-38.7%
5d Trend
-38.1%
EMA20 Dist
-35.1%
ATR%
12.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.3/10
Raw Quality 4.0/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 3.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
105,158
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
366 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$5,391.09
Current Value
$2,702.40
Period P&L
$-2,741.02
Max Drawdown
-80.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.28

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
4 / 10
Best Trade
+21.03%
Worst Trade
-33.18%
Avg Trade Return
-3.57%
Avg Hold Time
1.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$102,673.38
Estimated Fees
$256.68
Gross P&L
$-2,741.02
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,997.70
Gross Return
-50.84%
Net Return (after fees)
-55.60%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LTCUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 366 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $5,391.09 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 4, 2025 8:05pm ET $120.68 45 $5,391.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 9, 2025 11:45pm ET $132.94 45 $5,938.77 $5,910.45 +$519.36
(+10.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 9, 2025 11:50pm ET $132.24 45 $5,910.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 4:55pm ET $121.61 45 $5,435.34 $5,406.98 $-503.47
(-8.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
17.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 5:05pm ET $121.74 44 $5,406.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 5:15pm ET $81.35 44 $3,613.09 $3,590.54 $-1,816.44
(-33.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
12m held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 5:25pm ET $83.73 43 $3,590.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 5:30pm ET $101.33 43 $4,345.53 $4,325.69 +$735.15
(+21.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6m held
5 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 5:45pm ET $111.54 39 $4,325.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 6:25pm ET $96.50 39 $3,742.42 $3,722.25 $-603.44
(-13.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
42m held
6 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 6:35pm ET $99.50 37 $3,722.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 11, 2025 5:00pm ET $91.42 37 $3,419.98 $3,402.12 $-320.12
(-8.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 7:20pm ET $102.28 33 $3,402.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 9, 2025 5:15pm ET $113.26 33 $3,767.35 $3,749.42 +$347.30
(+10.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 9, 2025 5:25pm ET $112.38 33 $3,749.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 7:35pm ET $103.06 33 $3,438.47 $3,420.50 $-328.92
(-8.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 7:40pm ET $103.00 33 $3,420.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 1:25pm ET $94.34 33 $3,132.92 $3,116.53 $-303.97
(-8.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 3, 2026 7:10pm ET $82.49 38 $3,116.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 8:10am ET $75.78 38 $2,862.94 $2,847.99 $-268.54
(-8.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8.5d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 11:35pm ET $46.76 61 $2,847.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 2:00am ET $44.32 61 $2,699.38 $2,699.38 $-162.48
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 7, 2026 8:55am ET $58.91 46 $2,699.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 7, 2026 11:30am ET $55.96 46 $2,564.20 $2,564.20 $-148.33
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 9:20am ET $63.68 40 $2,564.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 11:05pm ET $60.39 40 $2,431.72 $2,431.72 $-144.97
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
13.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 10:50pm ET $65.85 37 $2,431.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 10:20am ET $73.18 37 $2,702.40 $2,702.40 +$257.85
(+11.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
11.5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $2,702.40
Net Profit/Loss: $-7,297.60
Total Return: -72.98%
Back to Momo Momentum