MARA Momo Momentum's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 48 trades in period
-19.16%
Last Year Return
$4,857.53
Current Value
35%
Win Rate
$6,008.93
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
20.9 oversold
20d Trend
-40.9%
5d Trend
-30.4%
EMA20 Dist
-28.9%
ATR%
10.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
5
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality
4.6/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 4.5
30-Day Momentum
44
+19.1%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
2.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 72.4
Conf: 0.61×
Accelerating (+40 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
29,645
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$6,008.93
Current Value
$4,857.53
Period P&L
$-1,151.35
Max Drawdown
-54.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.02
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
48
Winners / Losers
17 /
31
Best Trade
+13.73%
Worst Trade
-9.22%
Avg Trade Return
-0.21%
Avg Hold Time
2.5d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$512,025.61
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,151.35
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,151.35
Gross Return
-19.16%
Net Return (after fees)
-19.16%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MARA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 48 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $6,008.93 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2025 9:35am ET | $18.56 | 340 | $6,308.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $16.85 | 340 | $5,727.30 | $5,745.41 |
$-581.40 (-9.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $18.19 | 315 | $5,730.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 6, 2025 11:30am ET | $20.08 | 315 | $6,325.20 | $6,340.47 |
+$595.07 (+10.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 7, 2025 11:30am ET | $19.52 | 324 | $6,324.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 9:35am ET | $21.97 | 324 | $7,118.60 | $7,134.60 |
+$794.12 (+12.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 9:35am ET | $19.09 | 373 | $7,118.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2025 10:40am ET | $21.05 | 373 | $7,849.82 | $7,865.72 |
+$731.12 (+10.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 15, 2025 10:40am ET | $23.06 | 341 | $7,863.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 16, 2025 11:55am ET | $21.16 | 341 | $7,213.86 | $7,216.11 |
$-649.60 (-8.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 17, 2025 12:25pm ET | $19.66 | 367 | $7,215.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 20, 2025 11:00am ET | $21.76 | 367 | $7,984.09 | $7,984.98 |
+$768.87 (+10.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 21, 2025 11:00am ET | $20.64 | 386 | $7,965.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 22, 2025 11:20am ET | $18.93 | 386 | $7,306.98 | $7,326.85 |
$-658.13 (-8.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 23, 2025 11:40am ET | $19.31 | 379 | $7,318.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 31, 2025 1:10pm ET | $17.73 | 379 | $6,717.78 | $6,726.47 |
$-600.37 (-8.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.1d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $10.79 | 623 | $6,719.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 11:15am ET | $9.91 | 623 | $6,170.82 | $6,178.23 |
$-548.24 (-8.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10.1d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $10.62 | 582 | $6,177.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:10am ET | $9.77 | 582 | $5,683.23 | $5,683.53 |
$-494.70 (-8.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 10:25am ET | $9.61 | 591 | $5,676.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 1:15pm ET | $8.81 | 591 | $5,209.49 | $5,216.46 |
$-467.07 (-8.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 2:55pm ET | $8.36 | 623 | $5,211.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $7.78 | 623 | $4,850.05 | $4,855.12 |
$-361.34 (-6.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $7.41 | 655 | $4,851.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 12:05pm ET | $8.15 | 655 | $5,341.52 | $5,345.65 |
+$490.53 (+10.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.5h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 11:05am ET | $7.87 | 679 | $5,343.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 12:45pm ET | $7.47 | 679 | $5,075.52 | $5,077.44 |
$-268.20 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 10:00am ET | $8.51 | 596 | $5,071.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.68 | 596 | $5,768.09 | $5,773.57 |
+$696.13 (+13.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 10:50am ET | $9.60 | 601 | $5,769.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.03 | 601 | $5,427.03 | $5,431.06 |
$-342.51 (-5.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 10:30am ET | $9.20 | 590 | $5,428.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 11:05am ET | $8.65 | 590 | $5,100.55 | $5,103.61 |
$-327.45 (-6.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 10:25am ET | $8.33 | 612 | $5,097.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.23 | 612 | $5,645.70 | $5,651.41 |
+$547.80 (+10.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 11:05am ET | $8.95 | 631 | $5,647.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 2:45pm ET | $8.49 | 631 | $5,360.34 | $5,364.37 |
$-287.04 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $8.57 | 625 | $5,359.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:55am ET | $8.00 | 625 | $5,000.00 | $5,005.00 |
$-359.37 (-6.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 1:25pm ET | $8.10 | 617 | $5,000.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $7.68 | 617 | $4,738.50 | $4,742.71 |
$-262.29 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $9.02 | 525 | $4,738.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:50am ET | $8.56 | 525 | $4,496.62 | $4,501.21 |
$-241.50 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:50am ET | $9.38 | 479 | $4,493.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 3:25pm ET | $10.35 | 479 | $4,957.60 | $4,965.79 |
+$464.58 (+10.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.2d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $11.60 | 428 | $4,962.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $10.77 | 428 | $4,609.56 | $4,612.69 |
$-353.10 (-7.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
11.7d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $11.11 | 414 | $4,601.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $12.36 | 414 | $5,117.04 | $5,128.12 |
+$515.43 (+11.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $12.57 | 407 | $5,115.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 10:35am ET | $11.88 | 407 | $4,833.13 | $4,845.26 |
$-282.86 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 11:05am ET | $13.18 | 367 | $4,835.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $12.47 | 367 | $4,576.49 | $4,586.53 |
$-258.73 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.5h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 10:20am ET | $13.07 | 350 | $4,574.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $14.52 | 350 | $5,080.25 | $5,092.28 |
+$505.75 (+11.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 11:05am ET | $14.91 | 341 | $5,084.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $13.99 | 341 | $4,770.59 | $4,778.56 |
$-313.72 (-6.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $12.86 | 371 | $4,771.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 9:55am ET | $14.22 | 371 | $5,275.62 | $5,282.75 |
+$504.19 (+10.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 2:45pm ET | $13.48 | 391 | $5,270.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $14.94 | 391 | $5,841.54 | $5,853.61 |
+$570.86 (+10.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $14.91 | 392 | $5,844.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $14.10 | 392 | $5,525.24 | $5,534.09 |
$-319.52 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 11:10am ET | $14.19 | 389 | $5,519.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 10:15am ET | $13.29 | 389 | $5,169.81 | $5,183.91 |
$-350.18 (-6.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 9:40am ET | $12.96 | 399 | $5,171.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 10:10am ET | $12.20 | 399 | $4,867.80 | $4,880.67 |
$-303.24 (-5.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $12.78 | 381 | $4,869.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 10:50am ET | $14.09 | 381 | $5,368.29 | $5,379.78 |
+$499.11 (+10.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $12.69 | 423 | $5,367.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 10:05am ET | $11.90 | 423 | $5,033.70 | $5,045.61 |
$-334.17 (-6.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 2:10pm ET | $12.23 | 412 | $5,040.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 10:05am ET | $11.57 | 412 | $4,765.89 | $4,770.68 |
$-274.93 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.9h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $11.36 | 419 | $4,761.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 11:15am ET | $12.52 | 419 | $5,247.97 | $5,256.72 |
+$486.04 (+10.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 11:40am ET | $11.41 | 460 | $5,248.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 10:25am ET | $10.81 | 460 | $4,974.90 | $4,983.02 |
$-273.70 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 10:25am ET | $11.70 | 425 | $4,974.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 10:10am ET | $11.10 | 425 | $4,719.62 | $4,728.02 |
$-255.00 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 11:05am ET | $11.81 | 400 | $4,724.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $10.94 | 400 | $4,376.00 | $4,380.02 |
$-348.00 (-7.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 11:45am ET | $10.22 | 428 | $4,374.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 9:50am ET | $9.69 | 428 | $4,145.18 | $4,151.13 |
$-228.89 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 11:05am ET | $9.40 | 441 | $4,145.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 9:40am ET | $10.34 | 441 | $4,560.20 | $4,565.93 |
+$414.80 (+10.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.6h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 9:40am ET | $12.00 | 380 | $4,560.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 10:40am ET | $11.30 | 380 | $4,292.10 | $4,298.03 |
$-267.90 (-5.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 10:40am ET | $11.92 | 360 | $4,291.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 3:20pm ET | $11.31 | 360 | $4,071.56 | $4,078.36 |
$-219.67 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 10:20am ET | $11.91 | 342 | $4,073.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 9:50am ET | $11.31 | 342 | $3,868.02 | $3,873.19 |
$-205.17 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.5h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 10:20am ET | $11.18 | 346 | $3,866.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 10:05am ET | $12.35 | 346 | $4,271.37 | $4,278.01 |
+$404.82 (+10.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8d held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 9:40am ET | $12.30 | 347 | $4,268.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $13.97 | 347 | $4,847.59 | $4,857.53 |
+$579.52 (+13.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$4,857.53
Net Profit/Loss:
$-5,142.47
Total Return:
-51.42%