MU Momo Momentum's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 41 trades in period
+227.33%
Last Year Return
$42,494.02
Current Value
59%
Win Rate
$12,981.98
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
54
Lifetime
Confidence: 93%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
21.3/35
Total Return
20.9/25
Win Rate
6.4/15
Profit Factor
4.5/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality
57.7/100
× Confidence 0.93
= 53.5
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (93%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
29,436
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
260 days
Data Gaps
1 day with gaps
Data Gap Notice
The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.
2025-11-28 (no data)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$12,981.98
Current Value
$42,494.02
Period P&L
$29,512.06
Max Drawdown
-53.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.38
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
41
Winners / Losers
24 /
17
Best Trade
+16.60%
Worst Trade
-13.17%
Avg Trade Return
+3.33%
Avg Hold Time
5.2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$2,425,250.36
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$29,512.06
Net P&L (after fees)
$29,512.06
Gross Return
+227.33%
Net Return (after fees)
+227.33%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 260 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 41 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $12,981.98 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 19, 2025 10:25am ET | $161.02 | 80 | $12,881.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2025 11:40am ET | $177.63 | 80 | $14,210.40 | $14,312.39 |
+$1,328.80 (+10.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
12.1d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 2, 2025 11:45am ET | $183.90 | 77 | $14,160.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 16, 2025 9:30am ET | $203.80 | 77 | $15,692.60 | $15,844.83 |
+$1,532.45 (+10.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
13.9d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 17, 2025 9:35am ET | $198.81 | 79 | $15,705.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 24, 2025 10:55am ET | $219.00 | 79 | $17,301.00 | $17,440.24 |
+$1,595.41 (+10.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 27, 2025 11:15am ET | $218.94 | 79 | $17,295.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $241.42 | 79 | $19,072.18 | $19,216.55 |
+$1,776.32 (+10.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 10:45am ET | $235.15 | 81 | $19,046.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $204.18 | 81 | $16,538.58 | $16,708.18 |
$-2,508.37 (-13.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
13d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 9:35am ET | $239.39 | 69 | $16,517.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 10:15am ET | $263.47 | 69 | $18,179.43 | $18,369.70 |
+$1,661.52 (+10.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 11:30am ET | $260.75 | 70 | $18,252.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 11:00am ET | $239.47 | 70 | $16,762.90 | $16,880.11 |
$-1,489.59 (-8.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.5h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 9:50am ET | $265.64 | 63 | $16,735.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 2:45pm ET | $292.31 | 63 | $18,415.53 | $18,560.55 |
+$1,680.44 (+10.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10.2d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 2:45pm ET | $294.36 | 63 | $18,544.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $325.68 | 63 | $20,517.84 | $20,533.71 |
+$1,973.16 (+10.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $341.59 | 60 | $20,495.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:40am ET | $377.51 | 60 | $22,650.30 | $22,688.61 |
+$2,154.90 (+10.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
13d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 10:20am ET | $382.93 | 59 | $22,593.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $424.78 | 59 | $25,062.01 | $25,157.46 |
+$2,468.86 (+10.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $436.58 | 57 | $24,885.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 10:10am ET | $400.42 | 57 | $22,823.71 | $23,096.11 |
$-2,061.35 (-8.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $367.34 | 62 | $22,775.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $384.19 | 62 | $23,819.78 | $24,140.81 |
+$1,044.70 (+4.6%) |
📅 Sim Ended
4.2d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 10:25am ET | $421.36 | 57 | $24,017.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 10:35am ET | $398.74 | 57 | $22,728.24 | $22,851.53 |
$-1,289.28 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 10:30am ET | $401.34 | 56 | $22,475.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 12:50pm ET | $381.21 | 56 | $21,347.77 | $21,724.26 |
$-1,127.27 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $400.79 | 54 | $21,642.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $446.54 | 54 | $24,113.16 | $24,194.76 |
+$2,470.50 (+11.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 11:05am ET | $450.13 | 53 | $23,856.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 10:55am ET | $426.03 | 53 | $22,579.59 | $22,917.72 |
$-1,277.04 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $348.28 | 65 | $22,638.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:50am ET | $384.09 | 65 | $24,965.85 | $25,245.37 |
+$2,327.65 (+10.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $414.18 | 60 | $24,851.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 1:50pm ET | $455.62 | 60 | $27,337.20 | $27,731.47 |
+$2,486.10 (+10.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.2d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 10:45am ET | $478.04 | 58 | $27,726.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 10:00am ET | $526.32 | 58 | $30,526.27 | $30,531.42 |
+$2,799.95 (+10.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 10:00am ET | $539.99 | 56 | $30,239.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $609.37 | 56 | $34,124.72 | $34,416.42 |
+$3,885.00 (+12.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $679.00 | 50 | $33,950.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $791.74 | 50 | $39,587.25 | $40,053.67 |
+$5,637.25 (+16.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 2:25pm ET | $746.49 | 53 | $39,564.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 10:30am ET | $708.73 | 53 | $37,562.95 | $38,052.39 |
$-2,001.28 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 11:45am ET | $696.16 | 54 | $37,592.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 10:45am ET | $766.58 | 54 | $41,395.32 | $41,855.07 |
+$3,802.68 (+10.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 10:45am ET | $882.97 | 47 | $41,499.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 9:55am ET | $971.46 | 47 | $45,658.62 | $46,013.87 |
+$4,158.80 (+10.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 9:55am ET | $1,023.58 | 44 | $45,037.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $942.31 | 44 | $41,461.64 | $42,437.99 |
$-3,575.88 (-7.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $938.26 | 45 | $42,221.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 12:00pm ET | $889.70 | 45 | $40,036.50 | $40,252.79 |
$-2,185.20 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 2:50pm ET | $965.06 | 41 | $39,567.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $1,062.54 | 41 | $43,564.14 | $44,249.47 |
+$3,996.68 (+10.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 10:40am ET | $1,122.70 | 39 | $43,785.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 1:55pm ET | $1,062.00 | 39 | $41,418.00 | $41,882.36 |
$-2,367.11 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,228.15 | 34 | $41,756.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET | $1,142.23 | 34 | $38,835.82 | $38,961.25 |
$-2,921.11 (-7.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 11:45am ET | $1,089.21 | 35 | $38,122.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 10:25am ET | $1,028.20 | 35 | $35,987.00 | $36,825.73 |
$-2,135.52 (-5.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 10:25am ET | $1,010.16 | 36 | $36,365.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $917.57 | 36 | $33,032.52 | $33,492.49 |
$-3,333.24 (-9.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,012.41 | 33 | $33,409.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $961.78 | 33 | $31,738.74 | $31,821.70 |
$-1,670.79 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $984.70 | 32 | $31,510.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 10:20am ET | $929.54 | 32 | $29,745.31 | $30,056.61 |
$-1,765.09 (-5.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 11:10am ET | $856.50 | 35 | $29,977.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 10:55am ET | $943.66 | 35 | $33,028.10 | $33,107.21 |
+$3,050.60 (+10.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 9:55am ET | $835.12 | 39 | $32,569.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 9:35am ET | $924.41 | 39 | $36,051.80 | $36,589.33 |
+$3,482.12 (+10.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 11:05am ET | $825.40 | 44 | $36,317.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 9:45am ET | $912.41 | 44 | $40,146.04 | $40,417.99 |
+$3,828.66 (+10.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 11:05am ET | $902.48 | 44 | $39,709.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 10:10am ET | $855.30 | 44 | $37,633.42 | $38,342.29 |
$-2,075.70 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $916.79 | 41 | $37,588.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $1,010.48 | 41 | $41,429.68 | $42,183.58 |
+$3,841.29 (+10.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 10:25am ET | $997.30 | 42 | $41,886.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $909.68 | 42 | $38,206.56 | $38,503.54 |
$-3,680.04 (-8.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $976.96 | 39 | $38,101.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 10:05am ET | $1,079.28 | 39 | $42,091.92 | $42,494.02 |
+$3,990.48 (+10.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$42,494.02
Net Profit/Loss:
+$32,494.02
Total Return:
+324.94%