Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:38:11

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
21.5 oversold
20d Trend
-29.6%
5d Trend
-14.4%
EMA20 Dist
-18.7%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

59
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
31.5/35
Total Return
21.2/25
Win Rate
6.5/15
Profit Factor
3.8/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 69.0/100
× Confidence 0.86 = 59.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
29,792
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$44,258.90
Current Value
$45,522.59
Period P&L
$1,263.72
Max Drawdown
-39.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.05

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
6 / 10
Best Trade
+11.84%
Worst Trade
-8.69%
Avg Trade Return
+0.41%
Avg Hold Time
7.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,317,239.10
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,263.72
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,263.72
Gross Return
+2.86%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.86%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PLTR Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $44,258.90 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2025 9:45am ET $181.34 247 $44,789.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 14, 2025 9:45am ET $172.58 247 $42,627.26 $42,631.15 $-2,162.49
(-4.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 15, 2025 10:05am ET $182.73 233 $42,576.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 31, 2025 9:30am ET $201.41 233 $46,928.27 $46,983.33 +$4,352.18
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
16d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 3, 2025 9:30am ET $204.26 230 $46,979.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 9:35am ET $186.52 230 $42,899.60 $42,903.13 $-4,080.20
(-8.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 9:40am ET $191.39 224 $42,871.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 10:30am ET $175.24 224 $39,253.76 $39,285.53 $-3,617.60
(-8.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET $184.69 212 $39,153.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $177.94 212 $37,723.28 $37,855.33 $-1,430.19
(-3.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 10:05am ET $140.13 270 $37,833.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 9:30am ET $132.38 270 $35,742.60 $35,764.18 $-2,091.15
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 10:50am ET $135.24 264 $35,703.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 9:35am ET $151.26 264 $39,931.32 $39,992.14 +$4,227.96
(+11.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:40am ET $159.07 251 $39,926.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET $150.21 251 $37,702.71 $37,768.28 $-2,223.86
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:50am ET $131.90 286 $37,724.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $145.75 286 $41,684.50 $41,727.95 +$3,959.67
(+10.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
10 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 10:50am ET $140.26 297 $41,657.22 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:35am ET $133.09 297 $39,528.92 $39,599.65 $-2,128.30
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
11 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:35am ET $149.60 264 $39,494.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 3:05pm ET $141.96 264 $37,477.44 $37,582.69 $-2,016.96
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.2d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 10:35am ET $112.50 334 $37,573.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 9:55am ET $124.08 334 $41,444.39 $41,453.75 +$3,871.06
(+10.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 11:05am ET $133.26 311 $41,443.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 10:45am ET $126.58 311 $39,366.38 $39,376.24 $-2,077.51
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $144.46 272 $39,293.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 10:45am ET $159.37 272 $43,348.64 $43,431.76 +$4,055.52
(+10.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 9:35am ET $164.20 264 $43,348.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 11:55am ET $181.44 264 $47,900.16 $47,983.12 +$4,551.36
(+10.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
14.1d held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:40am ET $180.02 266 $47,885.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 12:25pm ET $170.77 266 $45,424.79 $45,522.59 $-2,460.53
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $45,522.59
Net Profit/Loss: +$35,522.59
Total Return: +355.23%
Back to Momo Momentum