Compendium › Momo Momentum › TMO
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
TMO
Alpaca Tradeable

Momo Momentum's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 7 trades in period

+19.55%
Last Year Return
$11,396.83
Current Value
71%
Win Rate
$9,532.76
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:16:38

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
29.6 oversold
20d Trend
-10.0%
5d Trend
-6.7%
EMA20 Dist
-7.6%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

18
Lifetime
Confidence: 65%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.0/35
Total Return
9.8/25
Win Rate
5.8/15
Profit Factor
2.2/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 28.1/100
× Confidence 0.65 = 18.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (65%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
20,040
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
252 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$9,532.76
Current Value
$11,396.83
Period P&L
$1,864.09
Max Drawdown
-9.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.47

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
5 / 2
Best Trade
+10.23%
Worst Trade
-8.11%
Avg Trade Return
+2.83%
Avg Hold Time
20.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$138,498.82
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,864.09
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,864.09
Gross Return
+19.55%
Net Return (after fees)
+19.55%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TMO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 252 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $9,532.76 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 2, 2025 9:35am ET $537.65 17 $9,139.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2025 9:35am ET $568.44 17 $9,663.48 $10,056.26 +$523.52
(+5.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 23, 2025 9:40am ET $575.36 17 $9,781.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 9:30am ET $586.78 17 $9,975.18 $10,250.31 +$194.05
(+2.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 9:40am ET $589.10 17 $10,014.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 9:40am ET $586.51 17 $9,970.73 $10,206.34 $-43.97
(-0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 10:05am ET $626.14 16 $10,018.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 10:05am ET $627.91 16 $10,046.56 $10,234.66 +$28.32
(+0.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 10:15am ET $625.31 16 $10,004.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 1:30pm ET $574.57 16 $9,193.12 $9,422.82 $-811.84
(-8.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
6 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:50am ET $476.02 19 $9,044.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 10:50am ET $524.39 19 $9,963.41 $10,341.85 +$919.03
(+10.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
35d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $573.00 18 $10,314.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 11:05am ET $631.61 18 $11,368.98 $11,396.83 +$1,054.98
(+10.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
28.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,396.83
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,396.83
Total Return: +13.97%
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