Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:44:21

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.4 neutral
20d Trend
-15.2%
5d Trend
-20.7%
EMA20 Dist
-16.9%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 85%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 5.2/100
× Confidence 0.85 = 4.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (85%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,942.60
Current Value
$9,580.10
Period P&L
$-362.51
Max Drawdown
-42.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.04

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
2 / 4
Best Trade
+10.22%
Worst Trade
-6.08%
Avg Trade Return
-0.28%
Avg Hold Time
4.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$103,858.00
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-362.51
Net P&L (after fees)
$-362.51
Gross Return
-3.65%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.65%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $9,942.60 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $544.37 18 $9,798.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET $514.78 18 $9,266.13 $9,410.08 $-532.53
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:35am ET $545.34 17 $9,270.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $516.08 17 $8,773.28 $8,912.57 $-497.51
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:35am ET $547.17 16 $8,754.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 10:40am ET $519.46 16 $8,311.28 $8,469.13 $-443.44
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:45am ET $520.12 16 $8,321.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 10:25am ET $488.52 16 $7,816.40 $7,963.54 $-505.59
(-6.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:45am ET $470.65 16 $7,530.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 11:05am ET $517.79 16 $8,284.72 $8,717.86 +$754.32
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:40am ET $496.10 17 $8,433.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 11:50am ET $546.82 17 $9,295.94 $9,580.10 +$862.24
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,580.10
Net Profit/Loss: $-419.90
Total Return: -4.20%
Back to Momo Momentum