Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:29:32

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
46.9 neutral
20d Trend
-0.2%
5d Trend
+2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.9%
ATR%
6.3%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

58
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
31.7/35
Total Return
20.3/25
Win Rate
4.3/15
Profit Factor
2.6/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 63.6/100
× Confidence 0.92 = 58.5

30-Day Momentum

9
+3.6%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-49 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$40,663.19
Current Value
$37,360.20
Period P&L
$-3,302.98
Max Drawdown
-30.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.06

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
3 / 7
Best Trade
+15.00%
Worst Trade
-7.34%
Avg Trade Return
-0.52%
Avg Hold Time
3.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$733,450.47
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,302.98
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,302.98
Gross Return
-8.12%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.12%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $40,663.19 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 11:35am ET $330.17 123 $40,610.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $305.93 123 $37,629.39 $37,682.27 $-2,980.91
(-7.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $325.53 115 $37,435.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $301.93 115 $34,722.52 $34,968.83 $-2,713.44
(-7.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 11:10am ET $259.00 135 $34,965.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $285.53 135 $38,546.55 $38,550.38 +$3,581.55
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $250.68 153 $38,354.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 10:55am ET $237.97 153 $36,409.41 $36,605.75 $-1,944.63
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 11:05am ET $237.20 154 $36,528.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $261.88 154 $40,329.52 $40,406.47 +$3,800.72
(+10.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 10:20am ET $293.76 137 $40,244.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 10:15am ET $276.01 137 $37,813.15 $37,975.18 $-2,431.29
(-6.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 10:10am ET $287.30 132 $37,923.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 3:10pm ET $272.75 132 $36,003.52 $36,055.10 $-1,920.08
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:40am ET $263.48 136 $35,833.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 1:15pm ET $250.14 136 $34,019.52 $34,240.89 $-1,814.21
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.6h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:55am ET $255.24 134 $34,201.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $242.38 134 $32,478.92 $32,518.32 $-1,722.57
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10d held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:35am ET $258.23 125 $32,279.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $296.97 125 $37,121.25 $37,360.20 +$4,841.88
(+15.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $37,360.20
Net Profit/Loss: +$27,360.20
Total Return: +273.60%
Back to Momo Momentum