Compendium › Momo Momentum › AVGO
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AVGO
Alpaca Tradeable

Momo Momentum's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 3 trades in period

-14.87%
Last 3 Months Return
$12,276.16
Current Value
0%
Win Rate
$14,420.27
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:29:55

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

16
Lifetime
Confidence: 71%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.2/35
Total Return
11.4/25
Win Rate
2.2/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
5.4/10
Raw Quality 23.2/100
× Confidence 0.71 = 16.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (71%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$14,420.27
Current Value
$12,276.16
Period P&L
$-2,144.10
Max Drawdown
-24.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-13.65

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
0 / 3
Best Trade
-5.01%
Worst Trade
-5.84%
Avg Trade Return
-5.29%
Avg Hold Time
6.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$78,831.22
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,144.10
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,144.10
Gross Return
-14.87%
Net Return (after fees)
-14.87%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $14,420.27 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:35am ET $381.73 37 $14,124.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 10:45am ET $362.60 37 $13,416.20 $13,712.40 $-707.86
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 10:45am ET $388.73 35 $13,605.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $366.02 35 $12,810.70 $12,917.55 $-794.85
(-5.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 10:30am ET $411.55 31 $12,758.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 1:25pm ET $390.86 31 $12,116.66 $12,276.16 $-641.39
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,276.16
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,276.16
Total Return: +22.76%
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