Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:38:26

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 89%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.5/35
Total Return
6.9/25
Win Rate
0.9/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
4.4/10
Raw Quality 12.7/100
× Confidence 0.89 = 11.3

30-Day Momentum

1
-7.1%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-10 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (89%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,709.39
Current Value
$10,044.10
Period P&L
$-665.30
Max Drawdown
-40.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.05

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
3 / 6
Best Trade
+11.94%
Worst Trade
-8.03%
Avg Trade Return
-0.43%
Avg Hold Time
5.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$191,504.74
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-665.30
Net P&L (after fees)
$-665.30
Gross Return
-6.21%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.21%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $10,709.39 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 9:55am ET $152.28 70 $10,659.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 9:35am ET $170.46 70 $11,932.55 $11,982.35 +$1,272.95
(+11.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $173.90 68 $11,825.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $162.93 68 $11,079.24 $11,236.39 $-745.96
(-6.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 9:40am ET $166.67 67 $11,166.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $153.28 67 $10,269.76 $10,339.26 $-897.13
(-8.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 11:05am ET $148.87 69 $10,272.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 11:45am ET $164.00 69 $11,316.00 $11,383.23 +$1,043.97
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
16d held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET $182.00 62 $11,284.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:35am ET $172.57 62 $10,699.34 $10,798.57 $-584.66
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:40am ET $187.78 57 $10,703.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 11:10am ET $177.50 57 $10,117.50 $10,212.61 $-585.96
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 10:55am ET $181.55 56 $10,166.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 2:45pm ET $170.90 56 $9,570.12 $9,616.20 $-596.41
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 10:25am ET $170.88 56 $9,569.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 10:20am ET $188.00 56 $10,528.20 $10,575.26 +$959.06
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 10:20am ET $204.67 51 $10,438.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:50am ET $194.26 51 $9,907.01 $10,044.10 $-531.16
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,044.10
Net Profit/Loss: +$44.10
Total Return: +0.44%
Back to Momo Momentum