Compendium › Momo Momentum › DOGEUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
DOGEUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Momo Momentum's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 4 trades in period

-11.71%
Last 3 Months Return
$7,461.37
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$8,055.57
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:43:32

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
21.8 oversold
20d Trend
-37.1%
5d Trend
-36.5%
EMA20 Dist
-35.0%
ATR%
12.1%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
2.9/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.2/10
Raw Quality 6.1/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 5.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,817
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
94 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,055.57
Current Value
$7,461.37
Period P&L
$-943.69
Max Drawdown
-66.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.29

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
1 / 3
Best Trade
+10.56%
Worst Trade
-8.85%
Avg Trade Return
-2.18%
Avg Hold Time
2.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$66,262.43
Estimated Fees
$165.66
Gross P&L
$-943.69
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,109.35
Gross Return
-11.71%
Net Return (after fees)
-13.77%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DOGEUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 94 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $8,055.57 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 5:40pm ET $0.0893 92,256 $8,239.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2026 12:35am ET $0.0987 92,256 $9,109.37 $9,109.37 +$826.60
(+10.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6.9h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2026 12:45am ET $0.1003 90,843 $9,109.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2026 1:10am ET $0.0914 90,843 $8,302.82 $8,302.82 $-850.08
(-8.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 11:00am ET $0.0879 94,497 $8,302.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:20am ET $0.0833 94,497 $7,868.64 $7,868.64 $-474.61
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 11:10am ET $0.0976 80,602 $7,868.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 11:55am ET $0.0926 80,602 $7,461.37 $7,461.37 $-445.60
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,461.37
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,538.63
Total Return: -25.39%
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