Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 04:19:50

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

66
Lifetime
Confidence: 91%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
21.9/25
Win Rate
6.3/15
Profit Factor
3.7/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 73.2/100
× Confidence 0.91 = 66.5

30-Day Momentum

39
+15.3%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
2.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 63.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-28 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (91%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$45,727.45
Current Value
$53,713.32
Period P&L
$7,985.88
Max Drawdown
-31.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.28

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
4 / 4
Best Trade
+11.50%
Worst Trade
-7.08%
Avg Trade Return
+2.37%
Avg Hold Time
2.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$750,979.07
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$7,985.88
Net P&L (after fees)
$7,985.88
Gross Return
+17.46%
Net Return (after fees)
+17.46%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $45,727.45 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 11:00am ET $105.53 433 $45,692.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 9:35am ET $117.67 433 $50,948.95 $50,984.06 +$5,256.62
(+11.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.6h held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:35am ET $105.68 482 $50,940.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 11:15am ET $100.30 482 $48,344.60 $48,388.49 $-2,595.57
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 11:50am ET $93.45 517 $48,313.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $87.31 517 $45,139.27 $45,214.11 $-3,174.38
(-6.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 10:10am ET $99.93 452 $45,168.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $92.85 452 $41,969.42 $42,015.17 $-3,198.94
(-7.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 11:00am ET $96.79 434 $42,006.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 9:50am ET $107.36 434 $46,594.24 $46,602.55 +$4,587.38
(+10.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 10:40am ET $110.25 422 $46,525.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 2:25pm ET $104.74 422 $44,198.17 $44,275.22 $-2,327.33
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $113.58 389 $44,182.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $125.07 389 $48,650.29 $48,742.89 +$4,467.67
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 10:00am ET $108.39 449 $48,667.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 12:35pm ET $119.46 449 $53,637.54 $53,713.32 +$4,970.43
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $53,713.32
Net Profit/Loss: +$43,713.32
Total Return: +437.13%
Back to Momo Momentum