Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:22:47

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

54
Lifetime
Confidence: 93%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
21.3/35
Total Return
20.9/25
Win Rate
6.4/15
Profit Factor
4.5/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 57.7/100
× Confidence 0.93 = 53.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (93%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$41,882.38
Current Value
$42,494.02
Period P&L
$611.66
Max Drawdown
-53.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.06

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
5 / 7
Best Trade
+10.69%
Worst Trade
-9.17%
Avg Trade Return
+0.48%
Avg Hold Time
2.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$875,242.16
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$611.66
Net P&L (after fees)
$611.66
Gross Return
+1.46%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.46%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $41,882.38 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $1,228.15 34 $41,756.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET $1,142.23 34 $38,835.82 $38,961.25 $-2,921.11
(-7.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 11:45am ET $1,089.21 35 $38,122.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 10:25am ET $1,028.20 35 $35,987.00 $36,825.73 $-2,135.52
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 10:25am ET $1,010.16 36 $36,365.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $917.57 36 $33,032.52 $33,492.49 $-3,333.24
(-9.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $1,012.41 33 $33,409.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $961.78 33 $31,738.74 $31,821.70 $-1,670.79
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $984.70 32 $31,510.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 10:20am ET $929.54 32 $29,745.31 $30,056.61 $-1,765.09
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 11:10am ET $856.50 35 $29,977.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 10:55am ET $943.66 35 $33,028.10 $33,107.21 +$3,050.60
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:55am ET $835.12 39 $32,569.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:35am ET $924.41 39 $36,051.80 $36,589.33 +$3,482.12
(+10.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 11:05am ET $825.40 44 $36,317.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 9:45am ET $912.41 44 $40,146.04 $40,417.99 +$3,828.66
(+10.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 11:05am ET $902.48 44 $39,709.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 10:10am ET $855.30 44 $37,633.42 $38,342.29 $-2,075.70
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $916.79 41 $37,588.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 9:35am ET $1,010.48 41 $41,429.68 $42,183.58 +$3,841.29
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 10:25am ET $997.30 42 $41,886.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $909.68 42 $38,206.56 $38,503.54 $-3,680.04
(-8.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10d held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:35am ET $976.96 39 $38,101.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 10:05am ET $1,079.28 39 $42,091.92 $42,494.02 +$3,990.48
(+10.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $42,494.02
Net Profit/Loss: +$32,494.02
Total Return: +324.94%
Back to Momo Momentum