Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:22:47

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
15.8 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-19.1%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

8
Lifetime
Confidence: 82%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.3/35
Total Return
4.1/25
Win Rate
1.1/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
4.0/10
Raw Quality 9.5/100
× Confidence 0.82 = 7.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (82%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,909.09
Current Value
$9,317.97
Period P&L
$-2,591.12
Max Drawdown
-28.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.58

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
1 / 5
Best Trade
+10.55%
Worst Trade
-8.75%
Avg Trade Return
-3.81%
Avg Hold Time
5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$130,706.26
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,591.12
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,591.12
Gross Return
-21.76%
Net Return (after fees)
-21.76%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ORCL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $11,909.09 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:45am ET $147.46 80 $11,797.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 11:05am ET $139.68 80 $11,174.80 $11,286.69 $-622.40
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 10:15am ET $121.63 92 $11,189.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:55am ET $115.22 92 $10,600.24 $10,696.97 $-589.72
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 10:20am ET $126.54 84 $10,629.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 12:25pm ET $139.90 84 $11,751.18 $11,818.37 +$1,121.40
(+10.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $153.13 77 $11,791.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $143.39 77 $11,041.03 $11,068.39 $-749.98
(-6.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 10:35am ET $153.40 72 $11,045.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $141.48 72 $10,186.56 $10,209.79 $-858.60
(-7.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 10:15am ET $149.93 68 $10,195.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $136.82 68 $9,303.76 $9,317.97 $-891.82
(-8.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,317.97
Net Profit/Loss: $-682.03
Total Return: -6.82%
Back to Momo Momentum