Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:16:33

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
18.4 oversold
20d Trend
-19.1%
5d Trend
-12.6%
EMA20 Dist
-11.6%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

18
Lifetime
Confidence: 78%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.6/35
Total Return
10.2/25
Win Rate
4.4/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 22.7/100
× Confidence 0.78 = 17.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (78%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,327.96
Current Value
$11,604.37
Period P&L
$276.40
Max Drawdown
-36.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
2 / 3
Best Trade
+10.97%
Worst Trade
-6.46%
Avg Trade Return
+0.81%
Avg Hold Time
7.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$113,527.40
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$276.40
Net P&L (after fees)
$276.40
Gross Return
+2.44%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.44%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PANW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $11,327.96 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 9:40am ET $316.00 35 $11,060.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 10:00am ET $350.67 35 $12,273.62 $12,541.59 +$1,213.62
(+11.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:40am ET $344.44 36 $12,399.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:45am ET $326.40 36 $11,750.40 $11,892.15 $-649.44
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 10:10am ET $364.47 32 $11,663.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 9:45am ET $345.30 32 $11,049.60 $11,278.71 $-613.44
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17d held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $358.56 31 $11,115.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:35am ET $335.38 31 $10,396.78 $10,560.13 $-718.58
(-6.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $346.24 30 $10,387.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 11:15am ET $381.05 30 $11,431.50 $11,604.37 +$1,044.24
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,604.37
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,604.37
Total Return: +16.04%
Back to Momo Momentum