Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:42:57

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
28.4 oversold
20d Trend
-31.1%
5d Trend
-24.1%
EMA20 Dist
-22.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

30
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.0/35
Total Return
15.6/25
Win Rate
2.4/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
5.4/10
Raw Quality 30.4/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 29.6

30-Day Momentum

32
+13.8%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 52.7 Conf: 0.61×
Steady (+3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$17,515.40
Current Value
$17,528.73
Period P&L
$13.36
Max Drawdown
-44.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
6 / 10
Best Trade
+12.99%
Worst Trade
-6.95%
Avg Trade Return
+0.33%
Avg Hold Time
1.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$494,461.36
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$13.36
Net P&L (after fees)
$13.36
Gross Return
+0.08%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.08%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIOT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $17,515.40 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 12:15pm ET $27.20 643 $17,489.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 9:35am ET $25.58 643 $16,447.94 $16,473.71 $-1,041.66
(-6.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:35am ET $23.34 705 $16,454.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $22.08 705 $15,566.40 $15,585.41 $-888.30
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $22.00 708 $15,576.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:50am ET $20.90 708 $14,793.66 $14,803.07 $-782.34
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $21.35 693 $14,795.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 10:05am ET $19.88 693 $13,776.84 $13,784.36 $-1,018.71
(-6.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 11:10am ET $18.36 750 $13,773.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $20.36 750 $15,270.00 $15,280.61 +$1,496.25
(+10.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 9:55am ET $22.51 678 $15,265.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:50am ET $24.92 678 $16,895.83 $16,911.27 +$1,630.66
(+10.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 11:25am ET $21.27 795 $16,909.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 10:05am ET $20.20 795 $16,059.00 $16,060.62 $-850.65
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 10:05am ET $22.17 724 $16,054.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 10:10am ET $20.81 724 $15,062.82 $15,068.74 $-991.88
(-6.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 10:55am ET $21.44 702 $15,050.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 9:50am ET $23.67 702 $16,616.34 $16,634.20 +$1,565.46
(+10.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 11:05am ET $22.23 748 $16,628.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 10:00am ET $20.68 748 $15,472.38 $15,478.54 $-1,155.66
(-7.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 9:30am ET $23.38 662 $15,477.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 9:35am ET $21.76 662 $14,405.12 $14,406.10 $-1,072.44
(-6.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 9:35am ET $21.02 685 $14,398.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 9:30am ET $19.90 685 $13,631.50 $13,638.90 $-767.20
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 11:10am ET $19.42 702 $13,631.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET $21.94 702 $15,401.95 $15,409.27 +$1,770.37
(+13.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 11:55am ET $21.35 721 $15,393.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:35am ET $19.99 721 $14,412.79 $14,428.71 $-980.56
(-6.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 10:20am ET $19.80 728 $14,414.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $21.85 728 $15,906.80 $15,921.11 +$1,492.40
(+10.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:35am ET $21.53 739 $15,910.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 3:15pm ET $23.70 739 $17,517.99 $17,528.73 +$1,607.62
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $17,528.73
Net Profit/Loss: +$7,528.73
Total Return: +75.29%
Back to Momo Momentum