Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:42:53

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
45.9 neutral
20d Trend
+4.5%
5d Trend
+2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.9%
ATR%
6.5%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

16
Lifetime
Confidence: 93%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.6/35
Total Return
9.4/25
Win Rate
3.1/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
4.0/10
Raw Quality 17.3/100
× Confidence 0.93 = 16.1

30-Day Momentum

30
+13.1%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 49.6 Conf: 0.61×
Accelerating (+14 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (93%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,752.44
Current Value
$11,261.22
Period P&L
$1,508.76
Max Drawdown
-72.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.27

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
4 / 4
Best Trade
+10.40%
Worst Trade
-6.70%
Avg Trade Return
+2.14%
Avg Hold Time
4.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$165,342.13
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,508.76
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,508.76
Gross Return
+15.47%
Net Return (after fees)
+15.47%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SMCI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $9,752.44 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:35am ET $29.11 334 $9,724.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $27.52 334 $9,191.68 $9,219.76 $-532.70
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET $29.48 312 $9,197.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 12:40pm ET $32.54 312 $10,154.04 $10,176.04 +$956.28
(+10.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 10:35am ET $27.92 364 $10,162.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 11:50am ET $30.72 364 $11,182.08 $11,195.24 +$1,019.20
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 9:35am ET $32.67 342 $11,173.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 2:45pm ET $30.96 342 $10,588.39 $10,610.49 $-584.75
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 9:50am ET $39.73 267 $10,607.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $37.27 267 $9,951.09 $9,953.67 $-656.82
(-6.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 9:40am ET $37.46 265 $9,926.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 10:35am ET $41.26 265 $10,935.22 $10,962.00 +$1,008.33
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
14d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 10:30am ET $40.32 271 $10,926.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $37.62 271 $10,195.02 $10,230.30 $-731.70
(-6.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:35am ET $38.63 264 $10,197.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 10:05am ET $42.53 264 $11,227.92 $11,261.22 +$1,030.92
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,261.22
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,261.22
Total Return: +12.61%
Back to Momo Momentum