Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-07-01 02:13:00

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
11
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.38%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.80
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.6
Quiet
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
61.7 neutral
20d Trend
+17.9%
5d Trend
+12.1%
EMA20 Dist
+11.8%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
24%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Jun 30, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.9/10
Raw Quality 2.9/100
× Confidence 0.92 = 2.6

30-Day Momentum

2
-11.2%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9 Conf: 0.70×
Cooling (-1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-01 → 2026-06-30
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$6,818.27
Current Value
$4,327.13
Period P&L
$-2,491.13
Max Drawdown
-72.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.71

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
1 / 8
Best Trade
+11.54%
Worst Trade
-16.27%
Avg Trade Return
-4.73%
Avg Hold Time
1.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$94,349.56
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,491.13
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,491.13
Gross Return
-36.54%
Net Return (after fees)
-36.54%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 UVXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $6,818.27 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $55.10 123 $6,777.10
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:35am ET $52.33 123 $6,436.59 $6,477.75 $-340.51
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 10:00am ET $51.90 124 $6,435.61
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $43.46 124 $5,388.42 $5,430.56 $-1,047.19
(-16.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.5h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:40am ET $39.38 137 $5,395.06
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 3:50pm ET $37.22 137 $5,099.22 $5,134.72 $-295.84
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.2d held
4 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 11:35am ET $37.67 136 $5,123.12
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 11:25am ET $35.76 136 $4,863.36 $4,874.96 $-259.76
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 12:05pm ET $29.71 164 $4,872.44
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:40pm ET $33.14 164 $5,434.96 $5,437.48 +$562.52
(+11.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 11:55am ET $34.10 159 $5,421.90
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:30pm ET $31.74 159 $5,046.66 $5,062.24 $-375.24
(-6.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 3:25pm ET $27.39 184 $5,039.76
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 1:35pm ET $26.00 184 $4,784.00 $4,806.48 $-255.76
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.2h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $28.25 170 $4,803.35
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 10:50am ET $26.80 170 $4,556.00 $4,559.13 $-247.35
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $28.45 160 $4,552.00
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 2:05pm ET $27.00 160 $4,320.00 $4,327.13 $-232.00
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.6h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $4,327.13
Net Profit/Loss: $-5,672.87
Total Return: -56.73%
Back to Momo Momentum