Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:44:29

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
19.7 oversold
20d Trend
-37.8%
5d Trend
-40.3%
EMA20 Dist
-38.0%
ATR%
13.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

7
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
2.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.4/10
Raw Quality 6.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 6.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,553
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$6,309.26
Current Value
$7,116.29
Period P&L
$496.57
Max Drawdown
-76.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.26

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
3 / 3
Best Trade
+10.27%
Worst Trade
-6.66%
Avg Trade Return
+2.07%
Avg Hold Time
1.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$82,437.98
Estimated Fees
$206.09
Gross P&L
$496.57
Net P&L (after fees)
$290.48
Gross Return
+7.87%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.60%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XRPUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $6,309.26 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 11:40am ET $1.07 5,999 $6,413.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 7:35am ET $1.18 5,999 $7,072.23 $7,072.23 +$624.89
(+10.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.9h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 12:55pm ET $1.31 5,412 $7,072.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 3:00pm ET $1.23 5,412 $6,657.65 $6,657.65 $-448.91
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 4:55am ET $1.40 4,771 $6,657.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 10:50pm ET $1.54 4,771 $7,334.75 $7,334.75 +$642.12
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
17.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 10:55pm ET $1.55 4,726 $7,334.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2026 6:10am ET $1.47 4,726 $6,925.21 $6,925.21 $-445.19
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:55am ET $1.40 4,951 $6,925.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 2:45pm ET $1.31 4,951 $6,464.19 $6,464.19 $-494.49
(-6.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 10:50am ET $1.39 4,646 $6,464.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 4:55pm ET $1.53 4,646 $7,116.29 $7,116.29 +$618.15
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,116.29
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,883.71
Total Return: -28.84%
Back to Momo Momentum