Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-05-09 07:51:38

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
38
Fear
VIX
17.1
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.41%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.75
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.6
Active
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
69.1 neutral
20d Trend
+5.2%
5d Trend
+6.0%
EMA20 Dist
+4.1%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
69%
Bounce Ratio
8.0×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored May 9, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 48%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.0/35
Total Return
5.7/25
Win Rate
0.4/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
4.0/10
Raw Quality 11.5/100
× Confidence 0.48 = 5.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (48%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,749
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-10 → 2026-05-08
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,003.61
Current Value
$10,386.75
Period P&L
$-616.86
Max Drawdown
-13.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.95

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
0 / 3
Best Trade
-0.28%
Worst Trade
-4.31%
Avg Trade Return
-1.74%
Avg Hold Time
14.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$62,971.14
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-616.86
Net P&L (after fees)
$-616.86
Gross Return
-5.61%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.61%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AAPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $11,003.61 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 28, 2025 9:35am ET $268.30 40 $10,731.94
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $267.55 40 $10,701.96 $10,916.77 $-29.98
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 9:45am ET $284.47 38 $10,809.79
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 9:45am ET $272.20 38 $10,343.41 $10,450.39 $-466.38
(-4.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $276.32 37 $10,223.84
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $274.60 37 $10,160.20 $10,386.75 $-63.64
(-0.6%)
📅 Sim Ended
4.3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,386.75
Net Profit/Loss: +$386.75
Total Return: +3.87%
Back to Momo Momentum