Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 04:21:10

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

66
Lifetime
Confidence: 91%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
21.9/25
Win Rate
6.3/15
Profit Factor
3.7/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 73.2/100
× Confidence 0.91 = 66.5

30-Day Momentum

39
+15.3%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
2.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 63.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-28 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (91%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$39,266.55
Current Value
$53,713.32
Period P&L
$14,446.78
Max Drawdown
-31.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.27

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
8 / 9
Best Trade
+11.50%
Worst Trade
-7.08%
Avg Trade Return
+2.19%
Avg Hold Time
3.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,530,594.13
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$14,446.78
Net P&L (after fees)
$14,446.78
Gross Return
+36.79%
Net Return (after fees)
+36.79%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $39,266.55 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET $73.77 532 $39,248.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 12:30pm ET $69.90 532 $37,186.80 $37,205.25 $-2,061.28
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 11:10am ET $69.11 538 $37,181.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $76.96 538 $41,407.17 $41,431.29 +$4,226.04
(+11.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $75.24 550 $41,382.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $83.36 550 $45,848.55 $45,897.84 +$4,466.55
(+10.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $90.10 509 $45,860.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 10:00am ET $85.58 509 $43,558.44 $43,595.38 $-2,302.46
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
5 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 10:35am ET $78.10 558 $43,579.80 — — —
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 10:15am ET $74.15 558 $41,375.70 $41,391.28 $-2,204.10
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15d held
6 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 11:05am ET $79.17 522 $41,326.74 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:40am ET $88.14 522 $46,006.47 $46,071.01 +$4,679.73
(+11.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.6h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:50am ET $84.00 548 $46,032.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:20pm ET $79.79 548 $43,724.92 $43,763.93 $-2,307.08
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 11:15am ET $95.32 459 $43,751.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 11:05am ET $105.14 459 $48,259.26 $48,271.31 +$4,507.38
(+10.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:50am ET $111.35 433 $48,214.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 2:55pm ET $105.47 433 $45,670.67 $45,727.44 $-2,543.88
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 11:00am ET $105.53 433 $45,692.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 9:35am ET $117.67 433 $50,948.95 $50,984.06 +$5,256.62
(+11.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.6h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:35am ET $105.68 482 $50,940.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 11:15am ET $100.30 482 $48,344.60 $48,388.49 $-2,595.57
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 11:50am ET $93.45 517 $48,313.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $87.31 517 $45,139.27 $45,214.11 $-3,174.38
(-6.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 10:10am ET $99.93 452 $45,168.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $92.85 452 $41,969.42 $42,015.17 $-3,198.94
(-7.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 11:00am ET $96.79 434 $42,006.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 9:50am ET $107.36 434 $46,594.24 $46,602.55 +$4,587.38
(+10.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 10:40am ET $110.25 422 $46,525.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 2:25pm ET $104.74 422 $44,198.17 $44,275.22 $-2,327.33
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $113.58 389 $44,182.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $125.07 389 $48,650.29 $48,742.89 +$4,467.67
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 10:00am ET $108.39 449 $48,667.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 12:35pm ET $119.46 449 $53,637.54 $53,713.32 +$4,970.43
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $53,713.32
Net Profit/Loss: +$43,713.32
Total Return: +437.13%
Back to Momo Momentum