Compendium › Momo Momentum › LLY
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
LLY
Alpaca Tradeable

Momo Momentum's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 4 trades in period

-5.46%
Last 6 Months Return
$9,874.10
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$10,444.44
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:42:59

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.1%
ATR%
3.7%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
2.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 6.6/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 4.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,444.44
Current Value
$9,874.10
Period P&L
$-570.35
Max Drawdown
-28.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.20

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
1 / 3
Best Trade
+10.07%
Worst Trade
-5.31%
Avg Trade Return
-1.33%
Avg Hold Time
19.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$80,184.97
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-570.35
Net P&L (after fees)
$-570.35
Gross Return
-5.46%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.46%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LLY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $10,444.44 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $899.30 11 $9,892.30 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 1:30pm ET $989.89 11 $10,888.79 $11,440.94 +$996.49
(+10.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.2d held
2 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 10:30am ET $1,144.60 9 $10,301.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:50am ET $1,087.33 9 $9,785.95 $10,925.44 $-515.50
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:55am ET $1,195.56 9 $10,760.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 10:00am ET $1,132.06 9 $10,188.50 $10,353.94 $-571.50
(-5.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
35d held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET $1,177.99 8 $9,423.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 11:30am ET $1,118.01 8 $8,944.08 $9,874.10 $-479.84
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
34.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,874.10
Net Profit/Loss: $-125.90
Total Return: -1.26%
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