Compendium › Momo Momentum › MARA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MARA
Alpaca Tradeable

Momo Momentum's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 29 trades in period

-9.45%
Last 6 Months Return
$4,857.53
Current Value
34%
Win Rate
$5,364.42
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:13:20

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
20.9 oversold
20d Trend
-40.9%
5d Trend
-30.4%
EMA20 Dist
-28.9%
ATR%
10.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 4.6/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 4.5

30-Day Momentum

44
+19.1%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
2.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 72.4 Conf: 0.61×
Accelerating (+40 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$5,364.42
Current Value
$4,857.53
Period P&L
$-506.84
Max Drawdown
-54.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.00

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
29
Winners / Losers
10 / 19
Best Trade
+13.58%
Worst Trade
-7.37%
Avg Trade Return
-0.04%
Avg Hold Time
2.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$279,311.24
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-506.84
Net P&L (after fees)
$-506.84
Gross Return
-9.45%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.45%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MARA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 29 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $5,364.42 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $8.57 625 $5,359.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:55am ET $8.00 625 $5,000.00 $5,005.00 $-359.37
(-6.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 1:25pm ET $8.10 617 $5,000.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET $7.68 617 $4,738.50 $4,742.71 $-262.29
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET $9.02 525 $4,738.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:50am ET $8.56 525 $4,496.62 $4,501.21 $-241.50
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:50am ET $9.38 479 $4,493.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 3:25pm ET $10.35 479 $4,957.60 $4,965.79 +$464.58
(+10.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $11.60 428 $4,962.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $10.77 428 $4,609.56 $4,612.69 $-353.10
(-7.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
11.7d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $11.11 414 $4,601.61 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $12.36 414 $5,117.04 $5,128.12 +$515.43
(+11.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
7 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $12.57 407 $5,115.99 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 10:35am ET $11.88 407 $4,833.13 $4,845.26 $-282.86
(-5.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
8 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 11:05am ET $13.18 367 $4,835.23 — — —
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:35am ET $12.47 367 $4,576.49 $4,586.53 $-258.73
(-5.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.5h held
9 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 10:20am ET $13.07 350 $4,574.50 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:35am ET $14.52 350 $5,080.25 $5,092.28 +$505.75
(+11.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 11:05am ET $14.91 341 $5,084.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $13.99 341 $4,770.59 $4,778.56 $-313.72
(-6.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $12.86 371 $4,771.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:55am ET $14.22 371 $5,275.62 $5,282.75 +$504.19
(+10.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 2:45pm ET $13.48 391 $5,270.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $14.94 391 $5,841.54 $5,853.61 +$570.86
(+10.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:35am ET $14.91 392 $5,844.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $14.10 392 $5,525.24 $5,534.09 $-319.52
(-5.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 11:10am ET $14.19 389 $5,519.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 10:15am ET $13.29 389 $5,169.81 $5,183.91 $-350.18
(-6.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:40am ET $12.96 399 $5,171.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 10:10am ET $12.20 399 $4,867.80 $4,880.67 $-303.24
(-5.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $12.78 381 $4,869.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 10:50am ET $14.09 381 $5,368.29 $5,379.78 +$499.11
(+10.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $12.69 423 $5,367.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 10:05am ET $11.90 423 $5,033.70 $5,045.61 $-334.17
(-6.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 2:10pm ET $12.23 412 $5,040.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 10:05am ET $11.57 412 $4,765.89 $4,770.68 $-274.93
(-5.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.9h held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:35am ET $11.36 419 $4,761.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 11:15am ET $12.52 419 $5,247.97 $5,256.72 +$486.04
(+10.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
20 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 11:40am ET $11.41 460 $5,248.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 10:25am ET $10.81 460 $4,974.90 $4,983.02 $-273.70
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
21 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 10:25am ET $11.70 425 $4,974.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 10:10am ET $11.10 425 $4,719.62 $4,728.02 $-255.00
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 11:05am ET $11.81 400 $4,724.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $10.94 400 $4,376.00 $4,380.02 $-348.00
(-7.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 11:45am ET $10.22 428 $4,374.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:50am ET $9.69 428 $4,145.18 $4,151.13 $-228.89
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 11:05am ET $9.40 441 $4,145.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 9:40am ET $10.34 441 $4,560.20 $4,565.93 +$414.80
(+10.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.6h held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 9:40am ET $12.00 380 $4,560.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 10:40am ET $11.30 380 $4,292.10 $4,298.03 $-267.90
(-5.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 10:40am ET $11.92 360 $4,291.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 3:20pm ET $11.31 360 $4,071.56 $4,078.36 $-219.67
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.7h held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 10:20am ET $11.91 342 $4,073.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:50am ET $11.31 342 $3,868.02 $3,873.19 $-205.17
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.5h held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 10:20am ET $11.18 346 $3,866.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 10:05am ET $12.35 346 $4,271.37 $4,278.01 +$404.82
(+10.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8d held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:40am ET $12.30 347 $4,268.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $13.97 347 $4,847.59 $4,857.53 +$579.52
(+13.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $4,857.53
Net Profit/Loss: $-5,142.47
Total Return: -51.42%
Back to Momo Momentum