Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:43:23

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
45 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
-10.0%
EMA20 Dist
-6.7%
ATR%
7.8%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

16
Lifetime
Confidence: 90%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.8/35
Total Return
10.0/25
Win Rate
1.8/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 18.1/100
× Confidence 0.90 = 16.2

30-Day Momentum

23
+10.1%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 34.1 Conf: 0.66×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (90%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,230.30
Current Value
$11,508.78
Period P&L
$3,278.48
Max Drawdown
-67.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.26

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
19
Winners / Losers
9 / 10
Best Trade
+12.24%
Worst Trade
-7.08%
Avg Trade Return
+2.12%
Avg Hold Time
3.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$377,226.85
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,278.48
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,278.48
Gross Return
+39.83%
Net Return (after fees)
+39.83%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRNA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 19 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $8,230.30 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:05am ET $49.90 164 $8,183.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $55.50 164 $9,102.00 $9,148.70 +$918.40
(+11.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
17d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 10:45am ET $47.82 191 $9,133.62 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:35am ET $45.09 191 $8,612.19 $8,627.27 $-521.43
(-5.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
3 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:55am ET $46.65 184 $8,584.52 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $51.69 184 $9,511.88 $9,554.63 +$927.36
(+10.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
4 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:55am ET $50.99 187 $9,535.13 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 10:50am ET $56.33 187 $10,532.78 $10,552.27 +$997.64
(+10.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
55m held
5 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 10:50am ET $57.46 183 $10,515.16 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 11:55am ET $54.48 183 $9,970.57 $10,007.68 $-544.59
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held
6 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 11:00am ET $48.04 208 $9,992.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:40am ET $45.56 208 $9,477.00 $9,492.36 $-515.32
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 10:05am ET $50.96 186 $9,477.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 12:20pm ET $48.10 186 $8,946.60 $8,961.33 $-531.03
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 12:00pm ET $55.35 161 $8,911.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:50pm ET $61.13 161 $9,841.93 $9,891.91 +$930.58
(+10.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:50am ET $62.47 158 $9,870.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET $58.05 158 $9,171.90 $9,193.55 $-698.36
(-7.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:55am ET $64.25 143 $9,187.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 9:35am ET $72.11 143 $10,311.73 $10,318.24 +$1,124.69
(+12.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:40am ET $76.58 134 $10,262.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 11:55am ET $84.49 134 $11,321.66 $11,377.51 +$1,059.27
(+10.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 11:05am ET $68.93 165 $11,374.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:45am ET $65.27 165 $10,769.55 $10,772.78 $-604.73
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 11:00am ET $57.54 187 $10,759.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 12:00pm ET $54.59 187 $10,208.33 $10,221.13 $-551.65
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET $118.10 86 $10,156.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:50am ET $130.00 86 $11,180.00 $11,244.58 +$1,023.45
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
20m held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 9:35am ET $144.45 77 $11,122.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:35am ET $134.23 77 $10,335.92 $10,457.85 $-786.73
(-7.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 9:35am ET $147.38 70 $10,316.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 11:25am ET $139.65 70 $9,775.50 $9,916.76 $-541.09
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 10:15am ET $143.51 69 $9,902.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 3:20pm ET $136.25 69 $9,401.25 $9,415.82 $-500.94
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9.2d held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 10:00am ET $144.51 65 $9,393.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 10:00am ET $159.84 65 $10,389.60 $10,412.27 +$996.45
(+10.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 9:40am ET $163.43 63 $10,295.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 10:20am ET $180.83 63 $11,392.29 $11,508.78 +$1,096.51
(+10.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,508.78
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,508.78
Total Return: +15.09%
Back to Momo Momentum