Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:22:50

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

54
Lifetime
Confidence: 93%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
21.3/35
Total Return
20.9/25
Win Rate
6.4/15
Profit Factor
4.5/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 57.7/100
× Confidence 0.93 = 53.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (93%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$22,917.74
Current Value
$42,494.02
Period P&L
$19,576.30
Max Drawdown
-53.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.34

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
24
Winners / Losers
13 / 11
Best Trade
+16.60%
Worst Trade
-9.17%
Avg Trade Return
+3.01%
Avg Hold Time
3.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,751,554.45
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$19,576.30
Net P&L (after fees)
$19,576.30
Gross Return
+85.42%
Net Return (after fees)
+85.42%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 24 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $22,917.74 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $348.28 65 $22,638.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:50am ET $384.09 65 $24,965.85 $25,245.37 +$2,327.65
(+10.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $414.18 60 $24,851.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 1:50pm ET $455.62 60 $27,337.20 $27,731.47 +$2,486.10
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 10:45am ET $478.04 58 $27,726.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 10:00am ET $526.32 58 $30,526.27 $30,531.42 +$2,799.95
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
4 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 10:00am ET $539.99 56 $30,239.72 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $609.37 56 $34,124.72 $34,416.42 +$3,885.00
(+12.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
5 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $679.00 50 $33,950.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $791.74 50 $39,587.25 $40,053.67 +$5,637.25
(+16.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
6 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 2:25pm ET $746.49 53 $39,564.23 — — —
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 10:30am ET $708.73 53 $37,562.95 $38,052.39 $-2,001.28
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held
7 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 11:45am ET $696.16 54 $37,592.64 — — —
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 10:45am ET $766.58 54 $41,395.32 $41,855.07 +$3,802.68
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
8 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 10:45am ET $882.97 47 $41,499.82 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:55am ET $971.46 47 $45,658.62 $46,013.87 +$4,158.80
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:55am ET $1,023.58 44 $45,037.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $942.31 44 $41,461.64 $42,437.99 $-3,575.88
(-7.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $938.26 45 $42,221.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:00pm ET $889.70 45 $40,036.50 $40,252.79 $-2,185.20
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 2:50pm ET $965.06 41 $39,567.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:35am ET $1,062.54 41 $43,564.14 $44,249.47 +$3,996.68
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 10:40am ET $1,122.70 39 $43,785.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 1:55pm ET $1,062.00 39 $41,418.00 $41,882.36 $-2,367.11
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $1,228.15 34 $41,756.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET $1,142.23 34 $38,835.82 $38,961.25 $-2,921.11
(-7.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 11:45am ET $1,089.21 35 $38,122.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 10:25am ET $1,028.20 35 $35,987.00 $36,825.73 $-2,135.52
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 10:25am ET $1,010.16 36 $36,365.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $917.57 36 $33,032.52 $33,492.49 $-3,333.24
(-9.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $1,012.41 33 $33,409.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $961.78 33 $31,738.74 $31,821.70 $-1,670.79
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $984.70 32 $31,510.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 10:20am ET $929.54 32 $29,745.31 $30,056.61 $-1,765.09
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 11:10am ET $856.50 35 $29,977.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 10:55am ET $943.66 35 $33,028.10 $33,107.21 +$3,050.60
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:55am ET $835.12 39 $32,569.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:35am ET $924.41 39 $36,051.80 $36,589.33 +$3,482.12
(+10.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 11:05am ET $825.40 44 $36,317.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 9:45am ET $912.41 44 $40,146.04 $40,417.99 +$3,828.66
(+10.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 11:05am ET $902.48 44 $39,709.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 10:10am ET $855.30 44 $37,633.42 $38,342.29 $-2,075.70
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $916.79 41 $37,588.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 9:35am ET $1,010.48 41 $41,429.68 $42,183.58 +$3,841.29
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 10:25am ET $997.30 42 $41,886.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $909.68 42 $38,206.56 $38,503.54 $-3,680.04
(-8.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10d held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:35am ET $976.96 39 $38,101.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 10:05am ET $1,079.28 39 $42,091.92 $42,494.02 +$3,990.48
(+10.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $42,494.02
Net Profit/Loss: +$32,494.02
Total Return: +324.94%
Back to Momo Momentum