Compendium › Momo Momentum › PEPEUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
PEPEUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Momo Momentum's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 23 trades in period

-33.55%
Last 6 Months Return
$17,228.80
Current Value
30%
Win Rate
$22,257.49
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:16:46

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.2 neutral
20d Trend
-19.0%
5d Trend
-17.2%
EMA20 Dist
+0.0%
ATR%
10.6%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

24
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.0/35
Total Return
15.5/25
Win Rate
2.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.0/10
Raw Quality 24.2/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 24.1

30-Day Momentum

3
-1.7%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-21 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
53,044
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
185 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$22,257.49
Current Value
$17,228.80
Period P&L
$-7,466.67
Max Drawdown
-85.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.10

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
23
Winners / Losers
7 / 16
Best Trade
+11.31%
Worst Trade
-12.84%
Avg Trade Return
-0.78%
Avg Hold Time
1.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$874,660.83
Estimated Fees
$2,186.65
Gross P&L
$-7,466.67
Net P&L (after fees)
$-9,653.32
Gross Return
-33.55%
Net Return (after fees)
-43.37%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PEPEUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 185 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 23 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $22,257.49 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 7:10am ET $0.00000344 6,406,840,116 $22,039.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 8:25am ET $0.00000326 6,406,840,116 $20,886.30 $20,886.30 $-1,260.55
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 29, 2026 8:20pm ET $0.00000335 6,234,716,418 $20,886.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 6:40pm ET $0.00000371 6,234,716,418 $23,130.80 $23,130.80 +$2,134.46
(+10.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 6:55pm ET $0.00000371 6,234,716,981 $23,130.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 8:30pm ET $0.00000352 6,234,716,981 $21,946.20 $21,946.20 $-1,297.29
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 10:40pm ET $0.00000392 5,598,520,408 $21,946.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 10:25am ET $0.00000372 5,598,520,408 $20,826.50 $20,826.50 $-1,226.64
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
11.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 6:30am ET $0.00000414 5,030,555,556 $20,826.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:20am ET $0.00000393 5,030,555,556 $19,770.08 $19,770.08 $-1,157.91
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 11:35pm ET $0.00000308 6,418,857,143 $19,770.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 5:30am ET $0.00000292 6,418,857,143 $18,743.06 $18,743.06 $-1,123.30
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 4:50pm ET $0.00000276 6,790,963,768 $18,743.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 6, 2026 12:10am ET $0.00000261 6,790,963,768 $17,724.42 $17,724.42 $-1,109.81
(-5.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 6, 2026 2:35am ET $0.00000266 6,663,315,789 $17,724.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 14, 2026 8:10pm ET $0.00000293 6,663,315,789 $19,523.52 $19,523.52 +$1,705.98
(+10.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8.7d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 3, 2026 5:15pm ET $0.00000273 7,151,472,527 $19,523.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 10:15pm ET $0.00000259 7,151,472,527 $18,522.31 $18,522.31 $-1,096.32
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.2d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 1:05pm ET $0.00000287 6,453,766,551 $18,522.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 11, 2026 7:35pm ET $0.00000272 6,453,766,551 $17,554.25 $17,554.25 $-1,058.26
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:35am ET $0.00000286 6,137,849,650 $17,554.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 4:15am ET $0.00000270 6,137,849,650 $16,572.19 $16,572.19 $-1,067.37
(-5.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 11:30am ET $0.00000274 6,048,244,526 $16,572.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 4:15am ET $0.00000305 6,048,244,526 $18,447.15 $18,447.15 +$1,787.41
(+11.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
16.8h held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 4:25am ET $0.00000307 6,008,843,648 $18,447.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 1:45am ET $0.00000338 6,008,843,648 $20,309.89 $20,309.89 +$1,765.85
(+10.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 6:35am ET $0.00000369 5,504,035,230 $20,309.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 7:35am ET $0.00000350 5,504,035,230 $19,264.12 $19,264.12 $-1,144.70
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 1:05pm ET $0.00000386 4,990,704,663 $19,264.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 10:15pm ET $0.00000426 4,990,704,663 $21,260.40 $21,260.40 +$1,894.97
(+10.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
9.2h held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2026 12:25am ET $0.00000444 4,788,378,378 $21,260.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2026 1:10am ET $0.00000387 4,788,378,378 $18,531.02 $18,531.02 $-2,828.85
(-12.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2026 2:40am ET $0.00000408 4,541,916,667 $18,531.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 23, 2026 2:40am ET $0.00000386 4,541,916,667 $17,531.80 $17,531.80 $-1,089.38
(-5.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 10:50am ET $0.00000372 4,712,849,462 $17,531.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:00am ET $0.00000353 4,712,849,462 $16,636.36 $16,636.36 $-980.86
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.2h held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:50am ET $0.00000343 4,850,250,729 $16,636.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 2:55pm ET $0.00000325 4,850,250,729 $15,763.31 $15,763.31 $-954.04
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.1h held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2026 12:50pm ET $0.00000402 3,921,221,393 $15,763.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 10:30am ET $0.00000443 3,921,221,393 $17,371.01 $17,371.01 +$1,524.86
(+10.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 10:50am ET $0.00000460 3,776,306,522 $17,371.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 12:00pm ET $0.00000508 3,776,306,522 $19,183.64 $19,183.64 +$1,721.24
(+10.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 12:05pm ET $0.00000506 3,791,233,202 $19,183.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 5:25pm ET $0.00000480 3,791,233,202 $18,197.92 $18,197.92 $-1,079.17
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.3h held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 8:45pm ET $0.00000507 3,589,333,333 $18,197.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 12:20pm ET $0.00000480 3,589,333,333 $17,228.80 $17,228.80 $-1,057.69
(-5.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
15.6h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $17,228.80
Net Profit/Loss: +$7,228.80
Total Return: +72.29%
Back to Momo Momentum